Brasiliense vs Brasília – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Brasiliense - Brasília
Result
3:1
18/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BRASILIENSE - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Brasiliense
74.3%
Draw
16.8%
Brasília
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 22.8% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 18.8% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasiliense's performance.
  • Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasiliense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brasiliense - Brasília Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.41)
    5.43
    (4)
    10.32
    (7.2)
    9.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Brasiliense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brasília is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brasiliense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Brasiliense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Brasiliense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Brasiliense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    Latest results of Brasiliense
    15.03.2023 Botafogo RJ - Brasiliense 7:1
    11.03.2023 Santa Maria - Brasiliense 1:2
    08.03.2023 Brasiliense - Goiás 0:0
    05.03.2023 Brasiliense - Paranoá 1:2
    Latest results of Brasília
    11.03.2023 Brasília - Taguatinga EC 1:0
    26.02.2023 Brasília - Gama 0:2
    15.02.2023 Ceilândia - Brasília 3:3
    12.02.2023 Samambaia - Brasília 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1