Result
1:3
19/02/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Tarta ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, Joaozinho ⚽,
- 45+2', Felipe Garcia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 2, Lucas Sena ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 3, Douglas ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
43.5% | Draw
30.2% | Brasiliense
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brasiliense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasiliense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vila Nova - Brasiliense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.65) |
3.02 ↓
(3.36) |
3.46 ↓
(5.07) |
9.7%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brasiliense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Vila Nova will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Brasiliense?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brasiliense won against Vila Nova?
Brasiliense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Brasiliense were as follows:
13.02.2025
Brasiliense
-
Vila Nova
1:1
12.11.2022
Vila Nova
-
Brasiliense
2:1
09.11.2022
Brasiliense
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Brasiliense
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 2 | Porto Velho | Humaita | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Manaus | Bye | |
| 4 | Aguia De Maraba | Independencia | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Remo | Bye | |
| 6 | Sao Raimundo RR | Trem | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Amazonas | Bye | |
| 8 | Tocantinopolis | GAS | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Bye | |
| 10 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Uniao Carmolandense | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Goias | Bye | |
| 12 | Vitoria ES | Rio Branco ES | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Brasiliense | Bye | |
| 14 | Ceilandia | Capital | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Vila Nova FC | Bye | |
| 16 | Operario MS | Luverdense | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paysandu PA | Porto Velho | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Manaus | Aguia De Maraba | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Remo | Sao Raimundo RR | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Amazonas | Tocantinopolis | 5 : 1 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Uniao Rondonopolis | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Goias | Rio Branco ES | 6 : 0 |
| 7 | Brasiliense | Capital | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | Luverdense | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paysandu PA | Manaus | 4 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao Raimundo RR | Amazonas | 0 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Goias | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paysandu PA | Sao Raimundo RR | 3 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 2 | Goias | Brasiliense | 1 : 0, 3 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Paysandu PA | Goias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
