Afturelding vs Breiðablik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Afturelding - Breiðablik
Result
2:2
03/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 14
  • Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (322/403)80% (323/405)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.31
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
411
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
138
Passes
80% (322/403)80% (323/405)
Long passes
50% (33/66)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
60% (60/100)66% (84/127)
Crosses
29% (6/21)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.49
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
813
Tackles
58% (7/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3637
Clearances
4029
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.312.06
Goals prevented
-0.690.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Omarsson O. , Orrason A. (A),
  • 14', Jonsson A. 🟨,
  • 16', Yeoman A. , Hallsson G. ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Orrason A. , Valgeirsson V. (A),
  • 43', Magnusson H. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Magnusson H. , Cogic E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Stokke B. , Saevarsson A. (A),
  • 57', Margeirsson V. 🟨,
  • 64', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
  • 66', Sigmarsson G. , Runolfsson B. ,
  • 66', Cogic E. , Sigurjonsson O. ,
  • 67', Valgeirsson V. , Jonsson K. ,
  • 67', Omarsson O. , Kristinsson K. ,
  • 74', Steindorsson K. , Bjarnason A. ,
  • 83', Cogic E. , Hafthorsson T. G. ,
  • 85', Orrason A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Stokke B. , Ragnarsson A. ,
  • 90+4', Saevarsson A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Afturelding
24.5%
Draw
23.7%
Breiðablik
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 22.8% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 22.2% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Breiðablik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Afturelding - Breiðablik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.81
    (4.45)
    3.93
    (4.09)
    1.79
    (1.66)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Afturelding - Breiðablik?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Breiðablik will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
    • In recent matches, Afturelding has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breiðablik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Breiðablik is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Breiðablik were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Breiðablik - Afturelding 2:0
    Latest results of Afturelding
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur1593339:201930
    2Vikingur Reykjavik1593327:161130
    3Breidablik1593327:20730
    4Fram1572623:19423
    5Stjarnan1563625:26-121
    6Vestri1561813:14-119
    7Afturelding1554618:20-219
    8Hafnarfjordur1553725:20518
    9Vestmannaeyjar1553714:21-718
    10KA Akureyri1653816:31-1518
    11KR Reykjavik1544735:37-216
    12Akranes16501116:34-1815

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