Result
2:2
03/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 14
- Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
80% (322/403) | 80% (323/405) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.06 | 1.31 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
80% (322/403) | 80% (323/405) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (33/66) | 40% (19/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (60/100) | 66% (84/127) |
Crosses |
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29% (6/21) | 5% (1/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.94 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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36 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
40 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.31 | 2.06 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.69 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Orrason A. (A),
- 14', Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 16', Yeoman A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 2, Orrason A. ⚽, Valgeirsson V. (A),
- 43', Magnusson H. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 2, Magnusson H. ⚽, Cogic E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Stokke B. ⚽, Saevarsson A. (A),
- 57', Margeirsson V. 🟨,
- 64', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
- 66', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
- 66', Cogic E. ↓, Sigurjonsson O. ↑,
- 67', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 67', Omarsson O. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 74', Steindorsson K. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
- 83', Cogic E. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 85', Orrason A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Stokke B. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 90+4', Saevarsson A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Afturelding 24.5% | Draw 23.7% | Breiðablik 51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Breiðablik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Afturelding - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.81 ↓ (4.45) |
3.93 ↓ (4.09) |
1.79 ↑ (1.66) |
7.5% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Afturelding - Breiðablik?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Breiðablik will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Afturelding has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breiðablik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Breiðablik is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Breiðablik?
Afturelding has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Afturelding?
Breiðablik has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Breiðablik were as follows:
05.04.2025
Breiðablik
-
Afturelding
2:0
Latest results of Afturelding
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )