Breiðablik vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:2
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 19
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.07
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
79% (265/337)83% (460/557)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.72
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1239
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
127
Passes
79% (265/337)83% (460/557)
Long passes
44% (24/54)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
59% (44/74)65% (102/158)
Crosses
20% (2/10)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.00
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
712
Tackles
78% (7/9)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3535
Clearances
4116
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.721.34
Goals prevented
-1.28-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ingvarsson D. ⚽, Thorsteinsson A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Marius ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cift Y. E. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
  • 65', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 70', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Yeoman A. ↑,
  • 70', Ludviksson A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
  • 70', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
  • 75', Musaba A. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
  • 75', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
  • 81', Einarsson V. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
  • 90+3', Muminovic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Breiðablik
22.2%		Draw
22.7%		Samsunspor
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 22.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 21.8% 58.7%

Breiðablik - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.28 ↓
(4.6)		 4.15 ↓
(4.18)		 1.71 ↑
(1.64)		 5.8%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Samsunspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.
    • Breiðablik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samsunspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Ntcham O. (Hamstring Injury) Satka L. (Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Ustun E. (Inactive) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    06.11.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Breiðablik 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Stjarnan - Breiðablik 2:3
    23.10.2025 Breiðablik - KuPS Kuopio 0:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Breiðablik - Vikingur Reykjavik 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Breiðablik - Fram 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 1:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans 3:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Konyaspor - Samsunspor 1:3 ✺
    27.10.2025 Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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