Breiðablik vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 19
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.07
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
79% (265/337)83% (460/557)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.72
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1239
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
127
Passes
79% (265/337)83% (460/557)
Long passes
44% (24/54)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
59% (44/74)65% (102/158)
Crosses
20% (2/10)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.00
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
712
Tackles
78% (7/9)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3535
Clearances
4116
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.721.34
Goals prevented
-1.28-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ingvarsson D. , Thorsteinsson A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Marius , Makoumbou A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cift Y. E. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Marius , Holse C. (A),
  • 65', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 70', Valgeirsson V. , Yeoman A. ,
  • 70', Ludviksson A. , Hallsson G. ,
  • 70', Bjarnason A. , Kristinsson K. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Kristinsson K. , Omarsson O. (A),
  • 75', Musaba A. , Yaldir P. ,
  • 75', Tomasson L. , Gonul S. ,
  • 81', Einarsson V. , Steindorsson K. ,
  • 90+3', Muminovic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Breiðablik
22.2%
Draw
22.7%
Samsunspor
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 22.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 21.8% 58.7%

Breiðablik - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.28
(4.6)
4.15
(4.18)
1.71
(1.64)
5.8%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Samsunspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.27%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.
    • Breiðablik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samsunspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Ntcham O. (Hamstring Injury) Satka L. (Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Ustun E. (Inactive) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1
    09.11.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 1:0
    02.11.2025 Konyaspor - Samsunspor 1:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)