Result
2:2
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 17 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 19 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (265/337) | 83% (460/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (265/337) | 83% (460/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (44/74) | 65% (102/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ingvarsson D. ⚽, Thorsteinsson A. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Marius ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cift Y. E. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
- 65', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 70', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Yeoman A. ↑,
- 70', Ludviksson A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 70', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
- 75', Musaba A. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
- 75', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 81', Einarsson V. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
- 90+3', Muminovic D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Breiðablik
22.2% | Draw
22.7% | Samsunspor
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Breiðablik - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↓
(4.6) |
4.15 ↓
(4.18) |
1.71 ↑
(1.64) |
5.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Samsunspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Samsunspor (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Samsunspor (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Breiðablik (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.
- Breiðablik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samsunspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye C.
(Inactive)
Ntcham O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Satka L.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Ustun E.
(Inactive)
Yuksel C.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Samsunspor?
Breiðablik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Breiðablik?
Samsunspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Samsunspor were as follows:
Latest results of Breiðablik
Latest results of Samsunspor
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
