Virtus vs Breiðablik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
312
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Total shots
312
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
05
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
39
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2218
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
1516
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Kristinsson K. ,
  • 25', Einarsson V. 🟨,
  • 33', Zenoni M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Niang A. , Zenoni M. (A),
  • 43', Zenoni M. 🟨,
  • 43', Buonocunto I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Einarsson V. , Steindorsson K. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Ingvarsson D. , Thorsteinsson A. (A),
  • 65', Gori N. , Lombardi T. ,
  • 65', Montanari A. , Amati A. ,
  • 68', Kristinsson K. , Thomsen T. ,
  • 68', Thorsteinsson A. , Bjarnason A. ,
  • 70', Sabato R. 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 70', Sabato R. , De Lucia U. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Thomsen T. , Bjarnason A. (A),
  • 77', Buonocunto I. , Benincasa S. ,
  • 80', Scappini S. 🟨,
  • 80', Jonsson A. , Magnusson G. ,
  • 80', Jonsson K. , Omarsson O. ,
  • 84', Benincasa S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Virtus
11.9%
Draw
18.6%
Breiðablik
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 21.8% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 19.4% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Breiðablik's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Breiðablik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Virtus - Breiðablik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.84
    (5.66)
    5.03
    (4.2)
    1.35
    (1.48)
    6.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Virtus - Breiðablik?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 82.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Breiðablik will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - San Marino Stadium.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Virtus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breiðablik is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus - Breiðablik were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Breiðablik - Virtus 2:1
    Latest results of Virtus
    21.08.2025 Breiðablik - Virtus 2:1
    14.08.2025 Virtus - Milsami Orhei 3:0
    07.08.2025 Milsami Orhei - Virtus 3:2
    15.07.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Virtus 2:1
    08.07.2025 Virtus - Zrinjski Mostar 0:2
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
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    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye