Breno vs Real Calepina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Valsecchi P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Breno
43.2%
Draw
27.5%
Real Calepina
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 25.8% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 24.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Breno - Real Calepina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.22)
    3.31
    (3.53)
    3.11
    (2.75)
    9.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Breno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Breno might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Breno - Real Calepina were as follows:
    08.01.2023 Real Calepina - Breno 1:1
    04.09.2022 Breno - Real Calepina 1:1
    Latest results of Breno
    23.11.2025 Sondrio - Breno 2:2
    16.11.2025 Breno - Oltrepo 0:1
    09.11.2025 Folgore Caratese - Breno 2:1
    02.11.2025 Caldiero Terme - Breno 2:1
    26.10.2025 Breno - Scanzorosciate 0:0
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to