Real Calepina vs Breno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Lugnan G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 69', 1 - 1, Bigolin C. ,

Chances of winning


Real Calepina
45.9%
Draw
28.1%
Breno
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 26.8% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26.5% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Real Calepina - Breno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.85)
    3.23
    (3.36)
    3.49
    (3.7)
    10.2%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 1.
    • In recent matches, Real Calepina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Breno's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Breno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Calepina is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Calepina - Breno were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Breno - Real Calepina 2:1
    08.01.2023 Real Calepina - Breno 1:1
    04.09.2022 Breno - Real Calepina 1:1
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    Latest results of Breno
    02.04.2026 Breno - Sondrio 1:0
    29.03.2026 Oltrepo - Breno 2:0
    22.03.2026 Breno - Folgore Caratese 0:3
    15.03.2026 Breno - Caldiero Terme 1:1
    01.03.2026 Scanzorosciate - Breno 3:0
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese311810351:222964
    2Chievo311741046:38855
    3USD Casatese311313544:281652
    4Leon31149842:311151
    5AC Milan U2331148949:341550
    6Villa Valle311371140:40046
    7Scanzorosciate311112840:291145
    8Brusaporto311361235:35045
    9Oltrepo311381033:31244
    10Ciserano-Bergamo311012926:26042
    11Caldiero Terme31913941:37440
    12Real Calepina311171339:40-140
    13Castellanzese311091237:33439
    14Breno318101335:46-1134
    15Pavia318101332:44-1234
    16Varesina316131233:40-731
    17Sondrio31671828:58-3025
    18Vogherese ✔ 31282119:58-398

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to