Benevento vs Brescia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Benevento - Brescia
Result
1:0
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Chances of winning


Benevento
47.2%
Draw
29.7%
Brescia
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 31.3% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 29.8% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.
  • Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benevento - Brescia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.6)
    3.18
    (3)
    4.06
    (2.88)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Benevento - Brescia?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 42.8%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
    • Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (15.43%), has project points - 41, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (19.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 27, importance 65, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1.
    • In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
    • Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Brescia were as follows:
    16.09.2022 Brescia - Benevento 1:0
    Latest results of Benevento
    11.02.2023 Cagliari - Benevento 1:0
    04.02.2023 Benevento - Venezia 1:2
    29.01.2023 Frosinone - Benevento 1:0
    21.01.2023 Benevento - Genoa 1:2
    15.01.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Benevento 1:1
    Latest results of Brescia
    11.02.2023 Brescia - Modena 0:1
    04.02.2023 Perugia - Brescia 4:0
    28.01.2023 Brescia - Como 0:1
    22.01.2023 Brescia - Frosinone 1:3
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2