Result
1:0
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Benevento
47.2% | Draw
29.7% | Brescia
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.6) |
3.18 ↑
(3) |
4.06 ↑
(2.88) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benevento - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (15.43%), has project points - 41, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (19.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 65, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1.
- In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
- Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Brescia?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Benevento?
Brescia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Brescia were as follows:
16.09.2022
Brescia
-
Benevento
1:0
Latest results of Benevento
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
