Result
1:0
18/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Benevento 47.2% | Draw 29.7% | Brescia 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.6) |
3.18 ↑ (3) |
4.06 ↑ (2.88) |
5.9% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benevento - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (15.43%), has project points - 41, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (19.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 65, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1.
- In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
- Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Brescia?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Benevento?
Brescia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Brescia were as follows:
16.09.2022
Brescia
-
Benevento
1:0
Latest results of Benevento
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation