Perugia vs Brescia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Perugia - Brescia
04/02/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perugia
48.3%
Draw
29%
Brescia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 31.2% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31.5% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
  • Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perugia - Brescia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.42)
    3.23
    (3)
    4.12
    (3.12)
    6.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Brescia were as follows:
    03.09.2022 Brescia - Perugia 2:1
    Latest results of Perugia
    28.01.2023 Bari - Perugia 0:2
    21.01.2023 Parma - Perugia 2:0
    14.01.2023 Perugia - Palermo 3:3
    26.12.2022 Benevento - Perugia 0:2
    19.12.2022 Perugia - Venezia 2:1
    Latest results of Brescia
    28.01.2023 Brescia - Como 0:1
    22.01.2023 Brescia - Frosinone 1:3
    26.12.2022 Brescia - Palermo 1:1
    17.12.2022 Pisa - Brescia 3:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2