Brescia vs Trieste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo Italian A1 Water Polo Brescia - Trieste
Result
13:6
01/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Brescia
63.3%
Draw
13%
Trieste
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 12.7% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 10.6% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Trieste have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Brescia - Trieste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.43)
    7.03
    (7.2)
    3.83
    (3.85)
    9.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 19.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4.
    • Brescia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Trieste is in a super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • In this match, Brescia is a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 247:164 (average 12.4:8.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Brescia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 145:90 (average 13.2:8.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Trieste were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Trieste - Brescia 10:5
    25.04.2025 Brescia - Trieste 9:8
    22.02.2025 Brescia - Trieste 10:8
    17.11.2024 Trieste - Brescia 11:15
    22.03.2024 Trieste - Brescia 10:12
    Latest results of Brescia
    28.04.2025 Trieste - Brescia 10:5
    25.04.2025 Brescia - Trieste 9:8
    18.04.2025 Brescia - Pro Recco 13:12
    05.04.2025 Savona - Brescia 5:6
    29.03.2025 Brescia - De Akker Bologna 6:7
    Latest results of Trieste
    28.04.2025 Trieste - Brescia 10:5
    25.04.2025 Brescia - Trieste 9:8
    19.04.2025 Florentia - Trieste 7:14
    04.04.2025 Trieste - Ortigia 15:10
    29.03.2025 Telimar Palermo - Trieste 10:12
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brescia (1)Trieste (4)2 : 1
    2Pro Recco (2)Savona (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Brescia (1)Pro Recco (2)1 : 2

    3rd place
    2Savona (3)Trieste (4)2 : 0