Ajaccio vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Ajaccio - Brest
Result
0:0
23/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
27.8%
Draw
31.6%
Brest
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 30.7% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 30.5% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ajaccio - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (3)
    3.02
    (3.08)
    2.35
    (2.51)
    5%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Brest will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 46.1%80.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16).
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (51.25%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Brest has the most likely position - 15 (23.44%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (20%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 49, small importance 23, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3.
    • Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Brest is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y. (Injury) Youssouf M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Brest: Lala K. (Yellow Cards) Remy L. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Brest to win the game is with odds 2.37.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Brest were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Brest - Ajaccio 0:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    16.04.2023 Strasbourg - Ajaccio 3:1
    09.04.2023 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:3
    02.04.2023 Clermont - Ajaccio 2:1
    19.03.2023 Ajaccio - Monaco 0:2
    12.03.2023 Ajaccio - Montpellier 0:1
    Latest results of Brest
    16.04.2023 Brest - Nice 1:0
    09.04.2023 Reims - Brest 1:1
    02.04.2023 Brest - Toulouse 3:1
    19.03.2023 Troyes - Brest 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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