Result
0:0
23/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 32
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
27.8% | Draw
31.6% | Brest
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Ajaccio - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3) |
3.02 ↓
(3.08) |
2.35 ↓
(2.51) |
5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Brest?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Brest will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 46.1% – 80.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16).
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (51.25%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Brest has the most likely position - 15 (23.44%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (20%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 49, small importance 23, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3.
- Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Brest is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Youssouf M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Brest: Lala K.
(Yellow Cards)
Remy L.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Brest to win the game is with odds 2.37.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Brest?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Ajaccio?
Brest has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Brest were as follows:
18.09.2022
Brest
-
Ajaccio
0:1
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
