Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 33
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 86% (515/600) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 86% (515/600) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 64% (35/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/84) | 74% (113/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Bakker M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 40', Meunier T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 2 - 0, Doumbia K. ⚽,
- 66', Haraldsson H. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 66', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 70', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
- 72', Del Castillo R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 72', Haidara M. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
- 82', Doumbia K. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 88', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 88', Ajorque L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brest
20.2% | Draw
23.9% | Lille
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Brest - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(4.2) |
3.97 ↑
(3.74) |
1.71 ↓
(1.84) |
5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Lille?
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(51 of 61 users predict this - 83.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.32% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0.
- Brest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Chardonnet B.
(Yellow Cards)
Lees-Melou P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lille: Andre B.
(Yellow Cards)
Diakite B.
(Red Card)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Camara M.
(Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Le Cardinal J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A.
(Back Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lille?
Brest has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Brest?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lille were as follows:
06.12.2024
Lille
-
Brest
3:1
17.03.2024
Brest
-
Lille
1:1
22.10.2023
Lille
-
Brest
1:0
24.02.2023
Lille
-
Brest
2:1
11.01.2023
Brest
-
Lille
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
