Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/615) | 69% (188/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/615) | 69% (188/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (167/218) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Roy E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 64', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 66', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 66', Diaoune S. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 70', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Perrin G. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
- 74', Haraldsson H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 74', Correia F. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
- 77', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 85', Bouaddi A. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
59.1% | Draw
23.9% | Brest
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Lille - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.7) |
4.02 ↑
(3.92) |
5.58 ↑
(4.65) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Brest?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Brest (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lille (1.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH -2.5 - Brest (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lille (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Brest (5.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Brest (votes: 4 - 23.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
- Lille is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Injury)
Edjouma N.
(Muscle Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Mandi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Mbappe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Meunier T.
(Muscle Injury)
Ngoy N.
(Yellow Cards)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Thigh Injury)
Doumbia K.
(Yellow Cards)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Brest?
Lille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lille?
Brest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Brest were as follows:
17.08.2025
Brest
-
Lille
3:3
10.05.2025
Brest
-
Lille
2:0
06.12.2024
Lille
-
Brest
3:1
17.03.2024
Brest
-
Lille
1:1
22.10.2023
Lille
-
Brest
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
