Brest vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Brest - Lille
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.86
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
78% (300/387)86% (515/600)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.08
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
712
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
146
Passes
78% (300/387)86% (515/600)
Long passes
50% (34/68)64% (35/55)
Passes in final third
55% (46/84)74% (113/152)
Crosses
27% (3/11)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.72
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
614
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5438
Clearances
3219
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.081.84
Goals prevented
0.08-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Bakker M. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 40', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. , Del Castillo R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Doumbia K. ,
  • 66', Haraldsson H. , Cabella R. ,
  • 66', Mukau N. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 66', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 70', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
  • 72', Del Castillo R. , Sima A. ,
  • 72', Haidara M. , Locko B. ,
  • 82', Doumbia K. , Martin J. ,
  • 88', Ismaily , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 88', Ajorque L. , Makalou H. ,

Chances of winning


Brest
20.2%
Draw
23.9%
Lille
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 25.5% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 25.3% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Brest - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.73
    (4.2)
    3.97
    (3.74)
    1.71
    (1.84)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Brest - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: Lille will win (51 of 61 users predict this - 83.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.32%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0.
    • Brest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Chardonnet B. (Yellow Cards) Lees-Melou P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Diakite B. (Red Card) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Camara M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Hamstring Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Back Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lille were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Lille - Brest 3:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    22.10.2023 Lille - Brest 1:0
    24.02.2023 Lille - Brest 2:1
    11.01.2023 Brest - Lille 0:0
    Latest results of Brest
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    27.04.2025 Angers - Lille 0:2
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2