Saint-Étienne vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Saint-Étienne - Brest
Result
3:3
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
86% (412/481)80% (245/305)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.712.22
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1823
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
86% (412/481)80% (245/305)
Long passes
66% (27/41)58% (38/66)
Passes in final third
72% (98/137)65% (56/86)
Crosses
25% (5/20)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.14
Fouls
2118
Tackles
64% (9/14)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5562
Clearances Total
2825
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.220.71
Goals prevented
-0.78-2.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Ajorque L. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Nade M. (A),
  • 18', Moueffek A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 2, Cardona I. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 3, Ajorque L. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
  • 63', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
  • 72', Larsonneur G. 🟨,
  • 73', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
  • 73', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
  • 78', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Cardona I. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
  • 81', Sima A. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
  • 81', Magnetti H. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
  • 83', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bizot M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
27.6%		Draw
26%		Brest
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 26.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 26.9% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Saint-Étienne - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.43 ↑
    (3.29)    		 3.64
    (3.64)    		 2.05 ↓
    (2.14)    		 5.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Brest will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 23.4% – 70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.
    • Saint-Étienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Brest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Cornud P. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Faivre R. (Knee Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Tardieu F. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Fernandes E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Brest were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Brest - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Brest
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    09.03.2025 Brest - Angers 2:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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