Saint-Étienne vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Saint-Étienne - Brest
Result
3:3
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
86% (412/481)80% (245/305)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.712.22
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1823
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
86% (412/481)80% (245/305)
Long passes
66% (27/41)58% (38/66)
Passes in final third
72% (98/137)65% (56/86)
Crosses
25% (5/20)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.14
Fouls
2118
Tackles
64% (9/14)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5562
Clearances Total
2825
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.220.71
Goals prevented
-0.78-2.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Ajorque L. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Stassin L. , Nade M. (A),
  • 18', Moueffek A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 2, Sima A. , Lala K. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 2, Cardona I. , Davitashvili Z. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 3, Ajorque L. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
  • 63', Moueffek A. , Tardieu F. ,
  • 72', Larsonneur G. 🟨,
  • 73', Ajorque L. , Balde M. ,
  • 73', Pereira Lage M. , Doumbia K. ,
  • 78', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Cardona I. , Tardieu F. (A),
  • 81', Sima A. , Del Castillo R. ,
  • 81', Magnetti H. , Martin J. ,
  • 83', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bizot M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
27.6%
Draw
26%
Brest
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 26.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 26.9% 43.7%

Saint-Étienne - Brest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.43
(3.29)
3.64
(3.64)
2.05
(2.14)
5.4%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Brest will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.
    • Saint-Étienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Brest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Cornud P. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Faivre R. (Knee Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Tardieu F. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Fernandes E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Brest were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Brest - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    Latest results of Brest
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4
    09.03.2025 Brest - Angers 2:0
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

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