Result
3:3
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/481) | 80% (245/305) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/481) | 80% (245/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (27/41) | 58% (38/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/137) | 65% (56/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -2.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ajorque L. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Nade M. (A),
- 18', Moueffek A. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
- 34', 2 - 2, Cardona I. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 37', 2 - 3, Ajorque L. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 63', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
- 72', Larsonneur G. 🟨,
- 73', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 73', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 78', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 3, Cardona I. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
- 81', Sima A. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 81', Magnetti H. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 83', Balde M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bizot M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
27.6% | Draw
26% | Brest
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Saint-Étienne - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(3.29) |
3.64
(3.64) |
2.05 ↓
(2.14) |
5.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Brest?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Brest will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.
- Saint-Étienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Brest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Cornud P.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Knee Injury)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Tardieu F.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Fernandes E.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Brest?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Saint-Étienne?
Brest has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Brest were as follows:
31.08.2024
Brest
-
Saint-Étienne
4:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
