Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.901.91
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Passes
82% (377/462)83% (394/474)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.901.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.722.69
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
89
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1538
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
117
Passes
82% (377/462)83% (394/474)
Long passes
43% (26/61)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
72% (73/101)65% (90/138)
Crosses
27% (6/22)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.03
Throw ins
2711
Fouls
711
Tackles
64% (7/11)70% (21/30)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.690.72
Goals prevented
0.690.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Esteve M. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Wieffer M. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 60', Florentino 🟨,
  • 67', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 75', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
  • 75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
  • 75', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 80', Minteh Y. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
  • 82', Florentino ↓, Broja A. ↑,
  • 82', Hartman Q. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
  • 82', Humphreys B. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
  • 88', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Wieffer M. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Burnley
18%		Draw
22.6%		Brighton & Hove Albion
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 23.1% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 22.3% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.33 ↑
    (4.43)    		 4.24 ↑
    (4.16)    		 1.63 ↓
    (1.74)    		 3.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Brighton & Hove (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (55 of 60 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.68% – 98.66%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.
    • Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Brighton & Hove is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Laurent J. (Red Card) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Yellow Cards) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 2:0
    13.04.2024 Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    09.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    21.03.2026 Fulham - Burnley 3:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Burnley - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺
    03.03.2026 Everton - Burnley 2:0 ✺
    28.02.2026 Burnley - Brentford 3:4 ✺
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    21.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 2:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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