Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.901.91
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Passes
82% (377/462)83% (394/474)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.901.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.722.69
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
89
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1538
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
117
Passes
82% (377/462)83% (394/474)
Long passes
43% (26/61)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
72% (73/101)65% (90/138)
Crosses
27% (6/22)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.03
Throw ins
2711
Fouls
711
Tackles
64% (7/11)70% (21/30)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.690.72
Goals prevented
0.690.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Esteve M. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Wieffer M. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 60', Florentino 🟨,
  • 67', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 75', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
  • 75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
  • 75', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 80', Minteh Y. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
  • 82', Florentino ↓, Broja A. ↑,
  • 82', Hartman Q. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
  • 82', Humphreys B. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
  • 88', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Wieffer M. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Burnley
18%		Draw
22.6%		Brighton & Hove Albion
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 23.1% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 22.3% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.33 ↑
    (4.43)    		 4.24 ↑
    (4.16)    		 1.63 ↓
    (1.74)    		 3.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Brighton & Hove (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (55 of 60 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.68% – 98.66%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.
    • Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Brighton & Hove is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Laurent J. (Red Card) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Yellow Cards) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 2:0
    13.04.2024 Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    09.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    21.03.2026 Fulham - Burnley 3:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Burnley - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺
    03.03.2026 Everton - Burnley 2:0 ✺
    28.02.2026 Burnley - Brentford 3:4 ✺
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    21.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 2:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 35237567:264176
    2Manchester City ✔ 33217566:293770
    3Manchester Utd341710760:461461
    4Liverpool341771057:441358
    5Aston Villa341771047:42558
    6Brentford351491252:46651
    7Brighton3513111149:42750
    8Bournemouth341116752:52049
    9Chelsea341391253:45848
    10Fulham351461544:49-548
    11Everton341381341:41047
    12Sunderland3512111237:46-947
    13Newcastle351361649:51-245
    14Crystal Palace3311101236:39-343
    15Leeds3510131247:52-543
    16Nottingham341091541:45-439
    17West Ham35991742:61-1936
    18Tottenham348101643:53-1034
    19Burnley ✔ 35482335:71-3620
    20Wolves ✔ 35392325:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Burnley is Relegated to Championship
    Wolves is Relegated to Championship
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