Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
beninBeninBenin TV, ORTB
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
botswanaBotswanaYTV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
eswatiniEswatiniEswatini TV
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 8
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
guineaGuineaCIS
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv, K24
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 3, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix
tanzaniaTanzaniaUTV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ugandaUgandaNBS Sport 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24 Extra
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.39
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
81% (344/423)85% (415/486)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.98
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
99
Passes
81% (344/423)85% (415/486)
Long passes
38% (17/45)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
67% (78/117)78% (105/135)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.061.31
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
99
Tackles
67% (14/21)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5748
Clearances
2923
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.981.06
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Gomez D. , De Cuyper M. ,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Welbeck D. , Rutter G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joelinton , Miley L. ,
  • 46', Elanga A. , Murphy J. ,
  • 70', Gordon A. , Barnes H. ,
  • 70', Tonali S. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 71', Rutter G. , Tzimas S. ,
  • 71', Baleba C. , Milner J. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. , Miley L. (A),
  • 84', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ,
  • 86', Bruno Guimaraes , Osula W. ,
  • 90', Minteh Y. , Coppola D. ,
  • 90', Welbeck D. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 90+7', Burn D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
40.6%
Draw
28.3%
Newcastle United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.7% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.5% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.51)
    3.64
    (3.57)
    3.44
    (2.7)
    -3%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 47.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.9%62.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 25%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Brighton & Hove (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.
    • Brighton & Hove has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newcastle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Brighton & Hove has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B. (Knee Injury) Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Thigh Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gomez D. (Thigh Injury) Veltman J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Miley L. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:1
    02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2
    19.10.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1
    11.05.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    02.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 3:1
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd30159654:411354
    4Aston Villa30156940:37351
    5Liverpool30147949:40949
    6Chelsea30139853:351848
    7Brentford301361146:42445
    8Everton301271134:35-143
    9Newcastle301261243:43042
    10Bournemouth30914744:46-241
    11Fulham301251340:43-341
    12Brighton3010101039:36340
    13Sunderland3010101030:35-540
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds307111237:48-1132
    16Tottenham30791440:47-730
    17Nottingham30781528:43-1529
    18West Ham30781536:55-1929
    19Burnley30481832:58-2620
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship