Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 35
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadafubo Sports Network 3 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
icelandIcelandSiminn Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.75
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
78% (295/379)83% (366/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.942.05
Total shots
513
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1732
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
78% (295/379)83% (366/439)
Long passes
31% (20/64)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (2/10)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.60
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1510
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.050.94
Goals prevented
1.05-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Minteh Y. , Wieffer M. (A),
  • 32', Wieffer M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Wieffer M. , Lamptey T. ,
  • 57', Murphy J. , Gordon A. ,
  • 69', Hinshelwood J. , Ayari Y. ,
  • 69', Adingra S. , Veltman J. ,
  • 73', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 74', Willock J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Isak A. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Welbeck D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Minteh Y. , Gruda B. ,
  • 90+4', O'Riley M. , Gomez D. ,
  • 90+7', Trippier K. , Krafth E. ,
  • 90+7', Schar F. , Botman S. ,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
31.4%
Draw
25.7%
Newcastle United
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 25.9% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 27.3% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.75)
    3.76
    (3.72)
    2.25
    (2.47)
    3.7%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 33 - 53.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 30.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 40.8%65.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Newcastle (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.
    • Recent form of Brighton & Hove has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Rutter G. (Ankle Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Webster A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2
    19.10.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1
    11.05.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    02.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 3:1
    28.07.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:2
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship