Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Football English FA Cup Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest
Result
0:1 penalties
29/03/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
79% (443/563)74% (375/504)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.75
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2729
Through passes
100% (1/1)67% (4/6)
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
79% (443/563)74% (375/504)
Long passes
32% (19/59)31% (29/94)
Passes in final third
62% (102/164)67% (106/158)
Crosses
21% (5/24)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.28
Fouls
1910
Tackles
67% (16/24)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6868
Clearances Total
3622
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.750.41
Goals prevented
1.750.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Danilo ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
  • 61', Awoniyi T. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
  • 62', Estupinan P. 🟨,
  • 72', Welbeck D. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
  • 72', Mitoma K. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
  • 75', Rutter G. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
  • 81', Ayari Y. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
  • 88', Dominguez N. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Webster A. ↓, Dunk L. ↑,
  • 96', Dominguez N. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
  • 97', Yates R. 🟨,
  • 111', Williams N. 🟨,
  • 114', Gruda B. 🟨,
  • 120', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Morato ↑,
  • 120', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Joao Pedro (Pen),
  • 1, Anderson E. (Pen),
  • 2, Gruda B. (Pen),
  • 2, Hudson-Odoi C. (Pen),
  • 3, Hinshelwood J. (Pen),
  • 3, Williams N. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez D. (Pen),
  • 4, Milenkovic N. (Pen),
  • 5, Dunk L. (Pen),
  • 5, Yates R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
52.2%		Draw
25.9%		Nottingham Forest
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 24.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 24.1% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.82)    		 3.68 ↓
    (3.88)    		 4.36 ↑
    (4.2)    		 4.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 2.
    • Brighton & Hove in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Nottingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Lamptey T. (Ankle Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Carlos Miguel (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Chest Injury) March S. (Injury) O'Riley M. (Knee Injury) Veltman J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:27 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion 7:0
    22.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 2:2
    10.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 1:0
    25.11.2023 Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:3
    18.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 0:0
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    15.03.2025 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺
    25.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth 2:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    15.03.2025 Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest 2:4 ✺
    08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0 ✺
    03.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 4:3 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1ArsenalBye
    4ByeManchester Utd
    5LeicesterBye
    8ByeQPR
    9StevenageGuiseley2 : 1
    10Curzon AshtonMansfield0 : 4
    11WokingCambridge Utd0 : 1
    12CarlisleWigan0 : 2
    13FulhamBye
    16ByeWatford
    17HullBye
    19NorthamptonKettering1 : 2
    20BarrowDoncaster0 : 1
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23Stockport CountyForest Green2 : 1
    24Brackley TownBraintree1 : 0
    25LeedsBye
    27HarrogateWrexham1 : 0
    28HednesfordGainsborough4 : 5
    29MillwallBye
    31MK DonsAFC Wimbledon0 : 2
    32CreweDag & Red0 : 1
    33PrestonBye
    35WalsallBolton2 : 1
    36SouthendCharlton3 : 4
    37GrimsbyWealdstone0 : 1
    38WycombeYork City3 : 2
    40ByePortsmouth
    41SouthamptonBye
    44ByeSwansea
    45ReadingFleetwood2 : 0
    46TonbridgeHarborough1 : 4
    48ByeBurnley
    49Aston VillaBye
    52ByeWest Ham
    53BurtonScarborough1 : 0
    54TamworthHuddersfield1 : 0
    56ByeTottenham
    57SunderlandBye
    60ByeStoke
    61Sheffield UtdBye
    64ByeCardiff
    65GillinghamBlackpool0 : 2
    66SuttonBirmingham0 : 1
    67MaidenheadCrawley1 : 2
    68CheshamLincoln0 : 4
    69NewcastleBye
    71Solihull MoorsMaidstone3 : 0
    72RochdaleBromley3 : 4
    73NorwichBye
    76ByeBrighton
    77ChelseaBye
    79WorthingMorecambe0 : 2
    80Bradford CityAldershot3 : 1
    81ExeterBarnet5 : 3
    82ChesterfieldHorsham FC3 : 1
    84ByeOxford Utd
    85NottinghamBye
    88ByeLuton
    89CoventryBye
    92ByeSheffield Wed
    93IpswichBye
    95Port ValeBarnsley1 : 3
    96Bristol RoversWeston-super-Mare3 : 1
    97EvertonBye
    99NewportPeterborough2 : 4
    100Notts CoAlfreton5 : 1
    101BournemouthBye
    104ByeWest Brom
    105MiddlesbroughBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109Bristol CityBye
    112ByeWolves
    113Boreham WoodLeyton Orient2 : 3
    114TranmereOldham1 : 2
    116ByeDerby
    117Manchester CityBye
    119SalfordShrewsbury2 : 1
    120RotherhamCheltenham1 : 3
    121BrentfordBye
    124ByePlymouth
    125LiverpoolBye
    127RushallAccrington0 : 2
    128SwindonColchester2 : 1

    1/64-finals
    1ArsenalBye
    2ByeManchester Utd
    3LeicesterBye
    4ByeQPR
    5StevenageMansfield0 : 1
    6Cambridge UtdWigan1 : 2
    7FulhamBye
    8ByeWatford
    9HullBye
    10KetteringDoncaster1 : 2
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12Stockport CountyBrackley Town3 : 1
    13LeedsBye
    14HarrogateGainsborough1 : 0
    15MillwallBye
    16AFC WimbledonDag & Red1 : 2
    17PrestonBye
    18WalsallCharlton0 : 4
    19WealdstoneWycombe0 : 2
    20ByePortsmouth
    21SouthamptonBye
    22ByeSwansea
    23ReadingHarborough5 : 3
    24ByeBurnley
    25Aston VillaBye
    26ByeWest Ham
    27BurtonTamworth1 : 2
    28ByeTottenham
    29SunderlandBye
    30ByeStoke
    31Sheffield UtdBye
    32ByeCardiff
    33BlackpoolBirmingham1 : 2
    34CrawleyLincoln3 : 4
    35NewcastleBye
    36Solihull MoorsBromley1 : 2
    37NorwichBye
    38ByeBrighton
    39ChelseaBye
    40MorecambeBradford City1 : 0
    41ExeterChesterfield2 : 0
    42ByeOxford Utd
    43NottinghamBye
    44ByeLuton
    45CoventryBye
    46ByeSheffield Wed
    47IpswichBye
    48BarnsleyBristol Rovers0 : 1
    49EvertonBye
    50PeterboroughNotts Co4 : 3
    51BournemouthBye
    52ByeWest Brom
    53MiddlesbroughBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWolves
    57Leyton OrientOldham2 : 1
    58ByeDerby
    59Manchester CityBye
    60SalfordCheltenham2 : 0
    61BrentfordBye
    62ByePlymouth
    63LiverpoolBye
    64AccringtonSwindon3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1ArsenalManchester Utd1 : 2
    2LeicesterQPR6 : 2
    3MansfieldWigan0 : 2
    4FulhamWatford4 : 1
    5HullDoncaster1 : 2
    6Crystal PalaceStockport County1 : 0
    7LeedsHarrogate1 : 0
    8MillwallDag & Red3 : 0
    9PrestonCharlton2 : 1
    10WycombePortsmouth2 : 0
    11SouthamptonSwansea3 : 0
    12ReadingBurnley1 : 3
    13Aston VillaWest Ham2 : 1
    14TamworthTottenham0 : 3
    15SunderlandStoke1 : 2
    16Sheffield UtdCardiff0 : 1
    17BirminghamLincoln2 : 1
    18NewcastleBromley3 : 1
    19NorwichBrighton0 : 4
    20ChelseaMorecambe5 : 0
    21ExeterOxford Utd3 : 1
    22NottinghamLuton2 : 0
    23CoventrySheffield Wed2 : 1
    24IpswichBristol Rovers3 : 0
    25EvertonPeterborough2 : 0
    26BournemouthWest Brom5 : 1
    27MiddlesbroughBlackburn0 : 1
    28Bristol CityWolves1 : 2
    29Leyton OrientDerby2 : 1
    30Manchester CitySalford8 : 0
    31BrentfordPlymouth0 : 1
    32LiverpoolAccrington4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Manchester UtdLeicester2 : 1
    2WiganFulham1 : 2
    3DoncasterCrystal Palace0 : 2
    4LeedsMillwall0 : 2
    5PrestonWycombe1 : 0
    6SouthamptonBurnley0 : 1
    7Aston VillaTottenham2 : 1
    8StokeCardiff3 : 4
    9BirminghamNewcastle2 : 3
    10BrightonChelsea2 : 1
    11ExeterNottingham2 : 3
    12CoventryIpswich1 : 4
    13EvertonBournemouth0 : 2
    14BlackburnWolves0 : 2
    15Leyton OrientManchester City1 : 2
    16PlymouthLiverpool1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Manchester UtdFulham1 : 2
    2Crystal PalaceMillwall3 : 1
    3PrestonBurnley3 : 0
    4Aston VillaCardiff2 : 0
    5NewcastleBrighton1 : 2
    6NottinghamIpswich2 : 1
    7BournemouthWolves2 : 1
    8Manchester CityPlymouth3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1FulhamCrystal Palace0 : 3
    2PrestonAston Villa0 : 3
    3BrightonNottingham0 : 1
    4BournemouthManchester City1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Crystal PalaceAston Villa3 : 0
    2NottinghamManchester City0 : 2

    Final
    1Crystal PalaceManchester City1 : 0
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