Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 6, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3, SÝN Sport |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | SuperSport 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Portugal | DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | Pershiy |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/507) | 85% (372/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/507) | 85% (372/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (104/140) | 76% (66/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Igor Jesus (A),
- 15', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
- 30', Anderson E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Wieffer M. 🟨,
- 56', Williams N. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
- 56', Hutchinson O. ↓, Cunha ↑,
- 71', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
- 74', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 82', Aina O. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
- 83', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
- 84', Mitoma K. 🟨,
- 86', Gomez D. ↓, March S. ↑,
- 86', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
- 90+1', Mitoma K. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
- 90+3', Dunk L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brighton & Hove Albion
45.3% | Draw
27.8% | Nottingham Forest
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
3.43 ↓
(3.56) |
3.57 ↑
(3.37) |
4.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 32 - 60.4%). Nottingham will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 47.2% – 73.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nottingham (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nottingham (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Brighton & Hove (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brighton & Hove could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W.
(Knee Injury)
John Victor
(Knee Injury)
Sels M.
(Groin Injury)
Wood Ch.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y.
(Shoulder Injury)
March S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Savona N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Nottingham Forest?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Nottingham Forest has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
30.11.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
0:2
29.03.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Nottingham Forest
0:1
01.02.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
7:0
22.09.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Nottingham Forest
2:2
10.03.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Nottingham Forest
1:0
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | -26 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolves | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
