Brisbane Capitals vs Southern Districts Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 North Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans
Result
88:93
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 North - Play Offs - Final

Chances of winning


Brisbane Capitals
41.2%
Southern Districts Spartans
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Capitals's form might have worsened.
  • Southern Districts Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Districts Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Capitals than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Capitals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Districts Spartans than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern Districts Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.91)

    1.58
    (1.75)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 181.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Southern Districts (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Southern Districts Spartans will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:93.
  • Preview Facts
    • Southern District Spartans leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • Brisbane has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Southern Districts is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Southern Districts will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1015:952. (average 92.3:86.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 573:530. (average 95.5:88.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans 78:90
    31.05.2025 Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans 114:107
    10.05.2025 Southern Districts Spartans - Brisbane Capitals 83:89
    05.07.2024 Southern Districts Spartans - Brisbane Capitals 83:75
    08.06.2024 Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans 103:90
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Bye
    2Sunshine Coast Phoenix (3)Rockhampton Rockets (6)117 : 86
    3Gold Coast Rollers (1)Bye
    4Southern District (4)Mackay Meteors (5)108 : 96

    Semi-finals
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Sunshine Coast Phoenix (3)81 : 74
    2Gold Coast Rollers (1)Southern District (4)81 : 85

    Final
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Southern District (4)0 : 2