Result
06/07/2025 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Adelaide Adrenaline
20.2% | Draw
16.3% | Brisbane Lightning
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Adrenaline's form might have worsened.Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Adrenaline, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.54 ↑
(3.58) |
5.62 ↓
(6.7) |
1.44 ↓
(1.54) |
9.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
- In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Brisbane is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brisbane is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.9:4.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 3.2:3.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Adrenaline won against Brisbane Lightning?
Adelaide Adrenaline has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lightning won against Adelaide Adrenaline?
Brisbane Lightning has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning were as follows:
05.07.2025
Adelaide Adrenaline
-
Brisbane Lightning
4:7
04.08.2024
Brisbane Lightning
-
Adelaide Adrenaline
2:1
03.08.2024
Brisbane Lightning
-
Adelaide Adrenaline
5:4
21.07.2024
Adelaide Adrenaline
-
Brisbane Lightning
3:0
20.07.2024
Adelaide Adrenaline
-
Brisbane Lightning
1:4
Latest results of Adelaide Adrenaline
Latest results of Brisbane Lightning
Australian Ice Hockey League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne Ice | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 139:68 | 55 |
| 2 | Perth | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 93:75 | 31 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lightning | 17 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 81:87 | 30 |
| 4 | Melbourne Mustangs | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 86:73 | 28 |
| 5 | CBR Brave | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 88:88 | 25 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 79:82 | 21 |
| 7 | Adelaide | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 56:98 | 14 |
| 8 | Central Coast Rhinos | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 68:119 | 12 |
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