Brisbane Lightning vs Adelaide Adrenaline – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline
Result
3:7
27/07/2025 at 01:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AIHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 16:56, 0 - 1, Boyle Z. (G), Anderson H. (A), Prevost C. (A2)
  • 17:43, 0 - 2, Friederich J. (G), Nekludovs R. (A), Prevost C. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:51, 0 - 3, Benson N. (G), Prevost C. (A), Boyle Z. (A2)
  • 10:00, 0 - 4, Prevost C. (G), MacDougall J. (A),
  • 14:27, 1 - 4, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 01:54, 2 - 4, Rapchuk S. (G), Hopps T. (A), Trnka M. (A2)
  • 15:56, 2 - 5, Prevost C. (G),
  • 17:44, 2 - 6, Nekludovs R. (G), Benson N. (A), McGuiness M. (A2)
  • 18:24, 2 - 7, MacPhail K. (G), Anderson H. (A), Trnka D. (A2)
  • 19:58, 3 - 7, Hopps T. (G), Miller C. (A), Gendunov B. (A2)

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lightning
58.1%
Draw
17.9%
Adelaide Adrenaline
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 16.4% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 16.3% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Adrenaline might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Adrenaline could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.68)
    5.08
    (5.5)
    3.79
    (3)
    10%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Adelaide has had a series of home games.
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 4.1:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 4.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline 3:4
    06.07.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning 2:4
    05.07.2025 Adelaide Adrenaline - Brisbane Lightning 4:7
    04.08.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline 2:1
    03.08.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline 5:4
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2518232161:9361
    2Perth2413128133:9043
    3CBR Brave2312209122:11140
    4Newcastle24113010125:10539
    5Melbourne Mustangs25102013109:11334
    6Brisbane Lightning2491410108:13333
    7Adelaide227021377:11323
    8Central Coast Rhinos232221774:15112

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