Essendon Bombers vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:143
01/05/2026 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL

Match Stats

Goals
1122
Behinds
1311
Kicks
181280
Handballs
168128
Disposals
349408
Frees for
2015
Frees against
1520
Clearances completed
3535
Marks
78158
Tackles
4048
Hitouts
3034

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (9 - 38)
  • 00:57, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 03:36, Cameron C. (G),
  • 04:55, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 05:55, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 08:02, Wright P. (G),
  • 10:35, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 13:20, McKenna C. (G),
  • 16:04, Rayner C. (G),
  • 18:55, Morris L. (G),
  • 25:52, (Behind Rushed),
  • 28:07, Langford K. (Behind),
  • 29:31, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 27)
  • 00:53, Caddy N. (G),
  • 02:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:45, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 04:26, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 07:22, Morris L. (G),
  • 11:04, Langford K. (Behind),
  • 13:57, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 14:56, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 15:34, Morris L. (G),
  • 17:40, Blakiston L. (G),
  • 19:23, Neale L. (G),
  • 21:45, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 22:42, Caddy N. (G),
  • 25:22, Wilmot D. (G),
  • 27:21, Nguyen J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 45)
  • 00:14, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 01:00, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:06, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 04:23, Rayner C. (G),
  • 05:37, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 07:49, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 09:41, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 11:16, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 15:21, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 18:35, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 21:10, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 23:58, Edwards T. (G),
  • 25:39, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 28:16, Merrett Z. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (38 - 33)
  • 00:48, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 01:14, Merrett Z. (G),
  • 03:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:09, Robey S. (G),
  • 10:28, Wright P. (G),
  • 11:40, Curtin C. (Behind),
  • 13:39, Reville B. (G),
  • 15:09, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 17:11, Caddy N. (G),
  • 18:31, McKenna C. (G),
  • 20:32, Langford K. (G),
  • 22:09, Morris L. (G),
  • 23:56, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 25:06, Cameron C. (G),
  • 27:31, Cox N. (G),
  • 31:40, Curtin C. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
12.3%
Brisbane Lions
87.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 80.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.65
    (5)

    1.08
    (1.18)
    8.1%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-47)
    What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 68:115.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.
    • Essendon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brisbane is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Brisbane is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1199:1304. (average 74.9:81.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 610:645. (average 76.3:80.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    29.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 90:72
    24.08.2024 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 87:67
    13.05.2023 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 87:45
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
    3Hawthorn Hawks8611829:684121.2026
    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )