Bristol City vs Birmingham City LFC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL 2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomWSL 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.871.73
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
24
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
53
Passes
66% (217/327)72% (291/402)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.871.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.01
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1014
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
97
Passes
66% (217/327)72% (291/402)
Long passes
20% (11/55)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
53% (42/79)54% (53/98)
Crosses
0% (0/13)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.060.59
Throw ins
4937
Fouls
79
Tackles
59% (13/22)80% (20/25)
Duels won
5338
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
1914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.010.81
Goals prevented
0.010.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Dafeur M. 🟨,
  • 17', Franch A. , Thomas L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dafeur M. , Jones V. ,
  • 56', Sarri V. , Lindstrom L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Leidhammar W. ,
  • 72', Powell E. , Bennett H. ,
  • 72', Struck C. , Wos O. ,
  • 72', Gale J. , Hardy R. ,
  • 78', Robinson K. , Farrugia M. ,
  • 83', Crosthwaite L. , Louis B. ,

Chances of winning


Bristol City
25%
Draw
25.3%
Birmingham City LFC
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 23.8% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 22.7% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City LFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City LFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (4.32)
    3.6
    (3.83)
    1.84
    (1.65)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
    • Bristol City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Birmingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:29. (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City 3:2
    07.09.2025 Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City 5:1
    26.01.2025 Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City 1:3
    24.11.2024 Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC 1:3
    15.09.2024 Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC 0:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Birmingham City LFC