Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League One - Round 44
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.26
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
75% (311/414)	57% (101/178)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.57	1.84
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
16	17
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
75% (311/414)	57% (101/178)
Long passes
38% (24/64)	26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)	53% (39/73)
Crosses
20% (6/30)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.27
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
79% (11/14)	76% (16/21)
Duels won
50	55
Clearances Total
22	48
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.84	0.57
Goals prevented
0.84	0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, List E. (A),
28', Forster-Caskey J. ↓, White H. ↑,
32', Sotiriou R. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
36', White H. 🟨,
45+2', Moore T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', List E. 🟨,
53', Thompson L. 🟨,
63', Moore T. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
63', Butcher M. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
68', Edwards K. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
68', List E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
81', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
81', Reid J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
36.7%

Draw
30.6%

Stevenage Borough
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	2.88 ↑ (2.32)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
Bristol Rovers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stevenage is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Stevenage Borough?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bristol Rovers?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

29.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 3:0

13.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 2:3

24.10.2023 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 1:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

18.04.2025 Wrexham - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

18.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Blackpool 1:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺

27.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship