Result
0:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (311/414) | 57% (101/178) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (311/414) | 57% (101/178) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (87/131) | 53% (39/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, List E. (A),
- 28', Forster-Caskey J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 32', Sotiriou R. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 36', White H. 🟨,
- 45+2', Moore T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', List E. 🟨,
- 53', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 63', Moore T. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 63', Butcher M. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
- 68', Edwards K. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 68', List E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 81', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
- 81', Reid J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
36.7% | Draw
30.6% | Stevenage Borough
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(3.07) |
3.1 ↓
(3.33) |
2.88 ↑
(2.32) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
- Bristol Rovers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Stevenage is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Stevenage Borough?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bristol Rovers?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
29.12.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bristol Rovers
3:0
13.02.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bristol Rovers
2:3
24.10.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Stevenage Borough
1:1
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
