Result
33:19
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership Rugby - Round 11
- Referee: Pearce L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 63 | 67 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 503 | 489 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 12)
- 10', Searle B. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 17', Moro J. (Try),
- 18', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Liebenberg H. (Try),
- 21', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Harding F. (Try),
- 30', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Ravouvou K. (Try),
- 32', Worsley S. (Missed Conversion),
- 38', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 7)
- 44', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Worsley S. ↓, Moroni M. ↑,
- 47', Whiteley T. ↓, van Poortvliet J. ↑,
- 50', Bill ↓, Grondona S. ↑,
- 51', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
- 51', Wand W. ↓, Perese I. ↑,
- 52', Harding F. (Try),
- 53', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Cracknell O. ↓, Palmer H. ↑,
- 57', Randall H. ↓, Marmion K. ↑,
- 58', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
- 58', Luatua S. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
- 65', Perese I. (Try),
- 66', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
- 67', Kloska G. ↓, Chawatama L. ↑,
- 69', Heward N. ↓, Boshoff A. ↑,
- 71', Blamire J. ↓, Theobald-Thomas F. ↑,
- 77', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+1', Hamer-Webb G. (Try),
- 80+2', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
Chances of winning
Leicester Tigers
69.3% | Draw
3.7% | Bristol Rugby
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Leicester Tigers - Bristol Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.33) |
24.4 ↑
(22.75) |
3.29 ↓
(3.61) |
8.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 1.
- Leicester Tigers has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bristol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bristol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Leicester Tigers has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Leicester Tigers is the team to beat.
- We predict that Leicester Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 434:461. (average 25.5:27.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 269:209. (average 33.6:26.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester Tigers won against Bristol Rugby?
Leicester Tigers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rugby won against Leicester Tigers?
Bristol Rugby has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester Tigers - Bristol Rugby were as follows:
28.09.2025
Bristol Rugby
-
Leicester Tigers
42:24
20.04.2025
Bristol Rugby
-
Leicester Tigers
19:36
21.12.2024
Leicester Tigers
-
Bristol Rugby
24:54
27.04.2024
Leicester Tigers
-
Bristol Rugby
19:21
13.10.2023
Bristol Rugby
-
Leicester Tigers
25:14
Latest results of Leicester Tigers
Latest results of Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 418:309 | 48 |
| 2 | Bath | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 405:252 | 46 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 336:207 | 45 |
| 4 | Leicester Tigers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 336:257 | 41 |
| 5 | Bristol | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 309:268 | 37 |
| 6 | Saracens | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 398:310 | 32 |
| 7 | Sale Sharks | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 299:323 | 20 |
| 8 | Gloucester | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 240:354 | 16 |
| 9 | Harlequins | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 215:379 | 11 |
| 10 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 208:505 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup
