Saracens vs Bristol Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Saracens - Bristol Rugby
Result
35:26
04/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby - Round 10
  • Referee: Carley M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate

Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
33
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
20
Goals %
80100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Metres Run With Ball
518345
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (22 - 7)
  • 6', Willis T. (Try),
  • 8', Lozowski A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Burke F. (Try),
  • 17', Lozowski A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Randall H. (Try),
  • 21', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Hodgson J. , Barker S. ,
  • 25', Itoje M. 🟨,
  • 31', Lozowski A. (Missed Penalty),
  • 33', Daly E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 39', Willis T. (Try),
  • 40', Lozowski A. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 19)
  • 44', Worsley S. , Byrne H. ,
  • 47', Cinti L. (Try),
  • 48', Lozowski A. (Missed Conversion),
  • 54', Carre R. , Brantingham P. ,
  • 54', Oghre G. , Thacker H. ,
  • 58', Dun J. , Ravouvou K. ,
  • 58', Heward N. , Heenan J. ,
  • 61', Ravouvou K. (Try),
  • 62', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', van Zyl I. , Simpson G. ,
  • 68', Riccioni M. , Clarey A. ,
  • 70', Lozowski A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Kloska G. , Halliwell J. ,
  • 70', Randall H. , Marmion K. ,
  • 73', Thacker H. (Try),
  • 73', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Burke F. (Try),
  • 78', Willis T. , Sodeke O. ,
  • 78', Lozowski A. (Missed Conversion),
  • 80', George J. , Pifeleti K. ,
  • 80+1', Heenan J. (Try),
  • 80+2', Byrne H. (Missed Conversion),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Saracens
72%
Draw
4.2%
Bristol Rugby
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 4.1% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8% 3.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Saracens - Bristol Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.33)
    21.41
    (22.56)
    3.86
    (3.47)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Saracens - Bristol Rugby?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 35:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Saracens won 5.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Saracens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Saracens is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Saracens won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 405:231 (average 31.2:17.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Saracens won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 204:118 (average 34:19.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saracens - Bristol Rugby were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Bristol Rugby - Saracens 35:37
    11.05.2024 Bristol Rugby - Saracens 20:41
    25.11.2023 Saracens - Bristol Rugby 39:31
    28.01.2023 Saracens - Bristol Rugby 20:19
    05.11.2022 Bristol Rugby - Saracens 10:25
    Latest results of Saracens
    28.12.2024 Bath - Saracens 68:10
    22.12.2024 Saracens - Northampton Saints 39:24
    15.12.2024 Stade Français - Saracens 17:28
    07.12.2024 Saracens - Blue Bulls 27:5
    29.11.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Saracens 17:12
    Latest results of Bristol Rugby
    27.12.2024 Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks 0:38
    14.12.2024 La Rochelle - Bristol Rugby 35:7
    08.12.2024 Bristol Rugby - Leinster 12:35
    29.11.2024 Harlequins - Bristol Rugby 24:48
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bath (1)Bristol (4)34 : 20
    2Leicester Tigers (2)Sale Sharks (3)21 : 16

    Final
    1Bath (1)Leicester Tigers (2)23 : 21