Brive vs Provence Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
53:13
03/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 25

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (27 - 13)
  • 2nd Half (26 - 0)

Chances of winning


Brive
85.4%
Draw
2.7%
Provence Rugby
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 4.1% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 4.2% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brive's performance.
  • Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provence Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Provence Rugby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brive - Provence Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.08
    (1.33)
    34.67
    (22.75)
    7.81
    (3.61)
    8.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
    What is the prediction for Brive - Provence Rugby?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brive will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brive won 2.
    • Brive is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Provence Rugby has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Brive may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brive is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brive won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 207:170. (average 23:18.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brive won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 110:45. (average 27.5:11.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brive - Provence Rugby were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Provence Rugby - Brive 25:3
    18.04.2025 Brive - Provence Rugby 24:17
    17.10.2024 Provence Rugby - Brive 23:20
    26.01.2024 Provence Rugby - Brive 30:24
    07.09.2023 Brive - Provence Rugby 17:6
    Latest results of Brive
    27.03.2026 SA XV Charente - Brive 9:28
    05.03.2026 Colomiers - Brive 10:23
    27.02.2026 Brive - US Dax 48:24
    21.02.2026 FC Grenoble - Brive 20:18
    13.02.2026 Brive - Agen 18:13
    Latest results of Provence Rugby
    26.03.2026 Provence Rugby - Colomiers 20:25
    06.03.2026 Biarritz - Provence Rugby 26:18
    27.02.2026 Provence Rugby - Agen 22:24
    20.02.2026 US Dax - Provence Rugby 33:21
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes272214953:485105
    2Colomiers271908775:46185
    3Provence Rugby2716011786:65479
    4Valence Romans2717010716:66876
    5CA Brive2715111804:55273
    6US Oyonnax2714013831:59672
    7Agen2714013711:64766
    8Angouleme2712015524:65955
    9Grenoble FC2712015662:73354
    10Nevers2711115695:91052
    11Aurillac2711016633:77352
    12US Dax2713014639:65248
    13Mont-de-Marsan2710116617:88145
    14Biarritz Olympique2710116673:80744
    15Beziers2710017569:74944
    16Carcassonne277119509:87035

          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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          Pro D2 (Relegation)
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