Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (141/240) | 62% (183/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (141/240) | 62% (183/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (24/72) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (65/117) | 47% (49/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Hondermarck W. 🟨,
- 34', Harper R. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Charles A. ⚽,
- 45', Rose D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽,
- 61', Whitely C. 🟨,
- 62', Dinanga M. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
- 63', Hondermarck W. ↓, Arthurs J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Canavan N. (A),
- 73', Ifill M. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
- 77', Arthurs J. 🟨,
- 82', Rose D. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 87', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 87', Odutayo I. ↓, Ilunga B. ↑,
- 88', Earing J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 90+6', Canavan N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow 27.9% | Draw 28.6% | Bromley 43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Barrow - Bromley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↑ (3.06) |
3.26 ↓ (3.37) |
2.14 ↓ (2.2) |
7% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Bromley?
Users Predictions:
Bromley will win
(40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bromley will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
- Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bromley is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bromley might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Inactive)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Malcolm J.
(Inactive)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Shipley L.
(Injury)
Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bromley: Cameron K.
(Inactive)
Cheek M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Bromley?
Barrow has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bromley won against Barrow?
Bromley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Bromley were as follows:
15.11.2025
Bromley
-
Barrow
2:1
26.04.2025
Barrow
-
Bromley
3:3
26.10.2024
Bromley
-
Barrow
1:1
Latest results of Bromley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League