Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (273/344) | 85% (384/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (273/344) | 85% (384/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mertens J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10', Perdichizzi P. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Amengai N. ↓, Delorge L. ↑,
- 58', Garcia A. ↓, Vandeperre A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Musuayi Y. ⚽, Wylin S. (A),
- 65', De Buyser W. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
- 66', Lund-Jensen T. ↓, Grombahi C. ↑,
- 66', Koren T. N. ↓, Van Britsom J. ↑,
- 78', Grombahi C. ↓, Buifrahi R. ↑,
- 81', Daguin V. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 1, Van Meirvenne C. ⚽, Matuta E. (A),
- 89', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,
- 89', Boncina L. ↓, De Vos V. ↑,
- 90+3', Delorge L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lierse
46.4% | Draw
25.9% | Brugge U23
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lierse's performance.Brugge U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brugge U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Lierse - Brugge U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.29) |
3.56 ↑
(3.46) |
3.32 ↑
(2.73) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lierse - Brugge U23?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Brugge U23 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Brugge U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Lierse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Brugge U23?
Lierse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brugge U23 won against Lierse?
Brugge U23 has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - Brugge U23 were as follows:
08.11.2025
Brugge U23
-
Lierse
0:1
19.01.2025
Lierse
-
Brugge U23
1:3
19.10.2024
Brugge U23
-
Lierse
3:1
Latest results of Brugge U23
