RWDM Brussels vs Brugge U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23
Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 10
  • Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.85
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
86% (330/384)86% (438/510)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.44
Total shots
179
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1425
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
86% (330/384)86% (438/510)
Long passes
65% (44/68)62% (23/37)
Passes in final third
77% (67/87)74% (116/157)
Crosses
11% (1/9)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.70
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1914
Tackles
52% (11/21)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
1415
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.442.61
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Simbakoli U. (Pen),
  • 37', Van Acker T. , Da Silva J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', Simbakoli U. 🟨,
  • 55', Simbakoli U. 🟨,
  • 60', Loune A. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Robail G. , Persyn T. (A),
  • 63', Kestens P. , Dumont O. ,
  • 63', Furo K. , Musuayi Y. ,
  • 63', Bisiwu J. , Buifrahi R. ,
  • 76', Tytens R. , Van Britsom J. ,
  • 79', Gomez van Hoogen S. 🟨,
  • 86', Maurer A. , Montoro F. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Van Britsom J. , Musuayi Y. (A),
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Robail G. , Dumont O. (A),
  • 90+4', Huguinho , Segovia M. ,
  • 90+4', Robail G. , Poku K. ,

Chances of winning


RWDM Brussels
68.2%
Draw
19.5%
Brugge U23
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 21.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 20.7% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RWDM Brussels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RWDM Brussels's performance.
  • Brugge U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brugge U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RWDM Brussels that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brugge U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.53)
    4.93
    (4.34)
    8.29
    (5.15)
    4.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 4.
    • RWDM Brussels has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brugge U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, RWDM Brussels is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Brugge U23 - RWDM Brussels 0:1
    15.12.2024 RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 1:0
    06.05.2023 Brugge U23 - RWDM Brussels 1:3
    12.03.2023 RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 3:2
    03.12.2022 RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 0:2
    Latest results of RWDM Brussels
    04.10.2025 Eupen - RWDM Brussels 2:2
    28.09.2025 Gent U23 - RWDM Brussels 0:2
    24.09.2025 RWDM Brussels - Kortrijk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Lierse - RWDM Brussels 2:0
    14.09.2025 RWDM Brussels - Seraing 5:0
    Latest results of Brugge U23
    04.10.2025 Brugge U23 - Gent U23 0:4
    24.09.2025 Brugge U23 - Lommel 0:2
    21.09.2025 Kortrijk - Brugge U23 1:1
    13.09.2025 Brugge U23 - RFC Liège 0:2