Result
0:24
19/04/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 10
- Referee: Mabey A. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 50 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 108 | 113 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 270 | 411 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 5)
- 20', Hooper T. 🟨,
- 39', Pellegrini P. (Missed Penalty),
- 40', Toole C. (Try),
- 40', Lolesio N. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (0 - 19)
- 55', Pollard B. (Try),
- 56', Lolesio N. (Missed Conversion),
- 67', Pollard B. (Try),
- 68', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Toole C. (Try),
- 75', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Wright T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Moana Pasifika
27.9% | Draw
3.7% | Brumbies
68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moana Pasifika's form might have worsened.Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brumbies's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moana Pasifika than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moana Pasifika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brumbies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Moana Pasifika - Brumbies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.7) |
25.27 ↑
(22) |
1.36 ↓
(1.52) |
8.1%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 64.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent matches Moana Pasifika is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Brumbies is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Brumbies could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Brumbies will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Moana Pasifika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 89:144 (average 29.7:48).
- Including matches at home between the teams Moana Pasifika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 32:22
How many head-to-head matches has Moana Pasifika won against Brumbies?
Moana Pasifika has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Moana Pasifika?
Brumbies has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moana Pasifika - Brumbies were as follows:
22.03.2024
Brumbies
-
Moana Pasifika
60:21
18.03.2023
Brumbies
-
Moana Pasifika
62:36
Latest results of Moana Pasifika
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
