Result
31:34
07/03/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 4
- Referee: Murphy D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 60 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 138 | 120 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 467 | 502 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (19 - 20)
- 3', Shaw L. (Try),
- 4', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Cale C. (Try),
- 9', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
- 14', Anderson L. (Try),
- 15', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Anderson L. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
- 22', Werchon L. (Penalty Goal),
- 28', Flook J. (Try),
- 29', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Cale C. (Try),
- 37', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Werchon L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 14)
- 41', Flook J. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
- 48', Tualima T. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
- 49', Van Nek R. ↓, Alatini T. ↑,
- 49', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 55', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
- 55', Pollard B. ↓, Bowron L. ↑,
- 56', Neville C. ↓, MacPherson T. ↑,
- 58', Nasser J. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
- 58', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Uru S. ↑,
- 60', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
- 61', Muirhead A. (Try),
- 62', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
- 63', Muirhead A. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
- 65', Pritchard K. ↓, Anderson A. ↑,
- 68', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
- 74', Reimer L. (Try),
- 75', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Canham J. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
- 79', Lonergan R. ↓, Thorn K. ↑,
- 80', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 80', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Gordon C. (Try),
- 80+3', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Brumbies
58.6% | Draw
4.1% | Reds
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brumbies's form might have worsened.Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reds's recent form is better than expected.
Brumbies - Reds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.3) |
22.75 ↑
(21.25) |
2.5 ↓
(3.8) |
8.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Brumbies - Reds?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Brumbies will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 54.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brumbies will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 4.
- Brumbies may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brumbies is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Brumbies will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 491:463. (average 24.6:23.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brumbies won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 263:198. (average 29.2:22).
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Reds?
Brumbies has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Brumbies?
Reds has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brumbies - Reds were as follows:
14.09.2025
Reds
-
Brumbies
36:26
17.05.2025
Brumbies
-
Reds
24:14
12.04.2025
Reds
-
Brumbies
26:39
30.03.2024
Reds
-
Brumbies
19:20
07.04.2023
Reds
-
Brumbies
24:52
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
