Result
24:14
17/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 100 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 108 | 146 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 335 | 497 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 7)
- 5', Ryan T. (Try),
- 6', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Meredith D. ↓, Sapsford O. ↑,
- 19', Alaalatoa A. (Try),
- 20', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Sapsford O. ↓, Meredith D. ↑,
- 31', Pollard B. 🟨,
- 34', Scott R. ↓, Lonergan L. ↑,
- 39', Slipper J. ↓, Ieli L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (17 - 7)
- 41', Ieli L. ↓, Slipper J. ↑,
- 44', Lonergan L. ↓, Scott R. ↑,
- 44', Paisami O. 🟨,
- 44', Smith R. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 44', Faagase S. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 47', Muirhead A. (Try),
- 48', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Van Nek R. ↑,
- 51', Wright T. (Try),
- 52', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Nonggorr Z. ↓, De Lutiis M. ↑,
- 55', Asiata R. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 55', Pollard B. ↓, Lonergan L. ↑,
- 56', Slipper J. ↓, Ieli L. ↑,
- 56', Shaw L. ↓, Tualima T. ↑,
- 57', Daugunu F. ↓, Pakeho D. ↑,
- 61', Nasser J. (Try),
- 61', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
- 63', Feliuai D. ↓, Sapsford O. ↑,
- 77', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
- 77', Ikitau L. ↓, Creighton H. ↑,
- 78', Lonergan R. ↓, Goddard H. ↑,
- 79', Scott R. ↓, Neville C. ↑,
- 80', De Lutiis M. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 80', Brial J. ↓, Vest C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brumbies
66.5% | Draw
3.9% | Reds
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Brumbies - Reds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.37) |
23.63 ↑
(23.25) |
3.14 ↓
(3.26) |
7.9%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 52.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Brumbies - Reds?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Brumbies will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:23.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 4.
- Brumbies is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Reds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brumbies may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brumbies is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Brumbies will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 527:447. (average 26.4:22.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brumbies won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 325:218. (average 32.5:21.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Reds?
Brumbies has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Brumbies?
Reds has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brumbies - Reds were as follows:
12.04.2025
Reds
-
Brumbies
26:39
30.03.2024
Reds
-
Brumbies
19:20
07.04.2023
Reds
-
Brumbies
24:52
11.03.2023
Brumbies
-
Reds
23:17
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
