Bruno Fernandez vs Valentin Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
28
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
68%66%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (54/75)73% (49/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (19/35)35% (12/34)
Break Points Saved
90% (9/10)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
33% (22/67)28% (21/75)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (22/34)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)10% (1/10)
Service Points Won
66% (73/110)60% (61/101)
Return Points Won
40% (40/101)34% (37/110)
Total Points Won
54% (113/211)46% (98/211)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Bruno Fernandez
55.4%
Valentin Basel
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bruno Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bruno Fernandez's form might have worsened.
  • Valentin Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Basel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bruno Fernandez than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bruno Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Basel than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bruno Fernandez - Valentin Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.5)

    2.11
    (2.5)
    7.3%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Bruno Fernandez - Valentin Basel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Games - Fernandez (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fernandez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fernandez is ranked ATP: 856. Basel is ranked ATP: 1119.
    • Fernandez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fernandez will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J. (1)Kuzuhara B. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Justo G. I.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Tobon M. (JR)Torres J. B.0 : 2
    4Dutra Da Silva D.Rodriguez Taverna S. (6)2 : 0
    5Popko D. (RET.) (4)Alves M.0 : 0
    6Heide G.Storck F. L. (WC)
    7Zanellato N. (Q)Villanueva G.
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M.Kicker N. (7)
    9Collarini A. (8)Kestelboim M.
    10Zeitune M. (Q)Pereira J. (WC)
    11Ribeiro E. (Alt)Boscardin Dias P.
    12Negritu Ch.Diaz Acosta F. (3)
    13Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Zeballos F. (Q)
    14Fernandez B. (WC)Basel V. (Q)
    15Luz O. (Q)Zarate C. M. (Q)
    16Sakamoto P.Olivieri G. A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J. (1)Justo G. I.
    2Torres J. B.Dutra Da Silva D.
    3Alves M.TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2