Result
3:1
22/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Paulinho Moccelin ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Emanuel Jesus ↓, Caique Brito ↑,
- 46', Mateus Mendes ↓, Matheus Neris ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
- 56', Pollero R. ↓, Biro C. ↑,
- 56', Robinho ↓,
- 64', 2 - 1, Diego Mathias (Pen),
- 65', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
- 67', Biro C. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 1, Everton Alemao ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brusque
66.8% | Draw
22.8% | Hercílio Luz
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusque's performance.Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hercílio Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hercílio Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brusque - Hercílio Luz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.63) |
3.99 ↑
(3.2) |
8.78 ↑
(5.25) |
9.6%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 3.
- Recent matches Brusque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hercílio Luz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Brusque have a series of guest games.
- Recently Hercílio Luz have a series of home games.
- In this match Brusque is absolute favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Brusque won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brusque won against Hercílio Luz?
Brusque has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Brusque?
Hercílio Luz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brusque - Hercílio Luz were as follows:
18.02.2024
Brusque
-
Hercílio Luz
1:1
22.01.2023
Brusque
-
Hercílio Luz
2:1
Latest results of Brusque
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
