Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Diego Mathias ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Lopes ↓, Ricardo Oliveira ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Guilherme Pira ⚽,
- 49', 2 - 1, Diego Tavares ⚽,
- 55', Jean Mangabeira 🟨,
- 61', Serginho 🟨,
- 61', Olavio ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
- 61', Diego Mathias ↓, Thomaz ↑,
- 67', Douglas Oliveira 🟨,
- 73', Miguel ↓, Emanuel L. ↑,
- 73', Joao Gabriel ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 73', Serginho ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 79', Bernardo ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
- 82', Thomaz 🟨,
- 85', Gustavo Lopes ↓, Sergio Raphael ↑,
- 86', Clinton U. ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
Chances of winning
Brusque
48.1% | Draw
31.2% | Ponte Preta
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusque's performance.Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brusque - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.25) |
2.94
(2.94) |
4.44 ↑
(3.15) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Brusque - Ponte Preta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brusque (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2.
- Recent performances by Brusque have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ponte Preta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brusque is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Brusque won against Ponte Preta?
Brusque has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Brusque?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brusque - Ponte Preta were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Brusque
1:0
17.05.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Brusque
1:4
23.10.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Brusque
2:0
05.07.2024
Brusque
-
Ponte Preta
0:0
Latest results of Brusque
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Figueirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ituano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Itabaiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Confianca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Guarani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Paysandu PA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Botafogo PB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Brusque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SER Caxias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Anapolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Maranhao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maringa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Ypiranga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Floresta EC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Barra FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
