Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
- 25', An Tae-Hyun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Han Ji-Ho ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
- 46', Yoon Bit-Garam ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
- 47', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Galego ⚽, Montano J. (A),
- 57', Ju Se-Jong 🟨,
- 64', Shin Jae-Won ↓, Thiaguinho Santos ↑,
- 69', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Choi Kyoung-Rok ↑,
- 76', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Kwon Sung-Yun ↑,
- 77', Ahn Hyeok-Ju ↓, Kim Yun-ho ↑,
- 83', Montano J. ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
- 87', Kim Sang-Jun ↓, Lee S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gwangju
25.7% | Draw
32.7% | Bucheon
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bucheon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bucheon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gwangju - Bucheon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(2.56) |
2.88 ↓
(2.95) |
2.27 ↓
(2.94) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gwangju - Bucheon?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bucheon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-2. Aggregate: 1-4. 2nd leg.
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 4.
- Gwangju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bucheon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Bucheon?
Gwangju has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bucheon won against Gwangju?
Bucheon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Bucheon were as follows:
27.08.2025
Bucheon
-
Gwangju
1:2
20.08.2025
Gwangju
-
Bucheon
2:0
19.06.2024
Bucheon
-
Gwangju
2:3
30.08.2022
Bucheon
-
Gwangju
2:1
Latest results of Gwangju
Latest results of Bucheon
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Pohang | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Jeju SK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Incheon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Anyang | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Daejeon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
