Result
2:0
20/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Jeong J. ⚽, Sim Sang-Min (A),
- 25', Jeon In-Kyu 🟨,
- 43', 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Reis (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Han Ji-Ho ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
- 75', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Rodrigo Bassani ↑,
- 75', Lee Eui-Hyeong ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 78', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
- 79', Lee K. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
- 79', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Shin Chang-Moo ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 85', Choi Jae-Young ↓, Choe Won-Cheol ↑,
Chances of winning
Gwangju
53.4% | Draw
28% | Bucheon
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-1%)
Gwangju - Bucheon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.64) |
3.35 ↓
(3.55) |
4.91 ↓
(4.92) |
8.2%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gwangju - Bucheon?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Bucheon will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 50%). Bucheon (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 3.
- Recent form of Gwangju has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bucheon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gwangju is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Bucheon?
Gwangju has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bucheon won against Gwangju?
Bucheon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Bucheon were as follows:
19.06.2024
Bucheon
-
Gwangju
2:3
30.08.2022
Bucheon
-
Gwangju
2:1
Latest results of Gwangju
Latest results of Bucheon
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Yangsan Eogok | Busan Kyotong | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bye | Busan | |
| 4 | Bye | Suwon FC | |
| 5 | Gwangju FC | Bye | |
| 7 | Gyeongju KHNP | Bye | |
| 8 | Seoul Jungnang | Paju Citizen | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | Bye | |
| 13 | Gimhae Jaemics | Chuncheon | 2 : 4 |
| 14 | Bye | Incheon | |
| 15 | Gyeongnam | Bye | |
| 16 | Pyeongchang United | Yangpyeong | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Hyochang | Gijang United | 0 : 4 |
| 18 | Bye | Gimpo FC | |
| 19 | Cheonan City | Bye | |
| 20 | Cheongsol | Pocheon | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Pohang | |
| 25 | Yeoju Citizen | Mokpo | 4 : 3 |
| 26 | Bye | Bucheon FC 1995 | |
| 28 | Bye | Jeju SK | |
| 29 | Gimcheon Sangmu | Bye | |
| 31 | Suwon Bluewings | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Seoul E-Land | |
| 33 | Incheon Seogot | Daejeon Korail | 0 : 9 |
| 34 | Bye | Cheongju | |
| 35 | Changwon | Bye | |
| 36 | Geonyung | Namyangju | 1 : 5 |
| 40 | Bye | Seoul | |
| 41 | Dangjin Citizen | Gangneung | 1 : 2 |
| 42 | Bye | Asan | |
| 44 | Bye | Daejeon | |
| 45 | Jeonbuk | Bye | |
| 47 | Ansan Greeners | Bye | |
| 48 | Jeonbuk Jeonju | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 0 : 6 |
| 49 | Sejong SA | Ulsan Citizen | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Bye | Jeonnam | |
| 52 | Bye | Anyang | |
| 53 | Daegu | Bye | |
| 55 | Gimhae | Bye | |
| 56 | Yangcheon TNT | Geoje | 0 : 1 |
| 57 | Gangwon | Bye | |
| 61 | Siheung Citizen | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Seongnam | |
| 63 | Hwaseong | Bye | |
| 64 | Jinju Citizen | Yeoncheon | 1 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Busan Kyotong | Busan | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Suwon FC | |
| 3 | Gwangju FC | Bye | |
| 4 | Gyeongju KHNP | Paju Citizen | 4 : 1 |
| 5 | Ulsan HD | Bye | |
| 7 | Chuncheon | Incheon | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Gyeongnam | Pyeongchang United | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Gijang United | Gimpo FC | 0 : 4 |
| 10 | Cheonan City | Pocheon | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Pohang | |
| 13 | Yeoju Citizen | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1 : 3 |
| 14 | Bye | Jeju SK | |
| 15 | Gimcheon Sangmu | Bye | |
| 16 | Suwon Bluewings | Seoul E-Land | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Daejeon Korail | Cheongju | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Changwon | Namyangju | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Seoul | |
| 21 | Gangneung | Asan | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Bye | Daejeon | |
| 23 | Jeonbuk | Bye | |
| 24 | Ansan Greeners | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 3 : 1 |
| 25 | Sejong SA | Jeonnam | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Anyang | |
| 27 | Daegu | Bye | |
| 28 | Gimhae | Geoje | 5 : 1 |
| 29 | Gangwon | Bye | |
| 31 | Siheung Citizen | Seongnam | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Hwaseong | Jinju Citizen | 1 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Busan Kyotong | Suwon FC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC | Gyeongju KHNP | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | Bye | |
| 4 | Incheon | Pyeongchang United | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Gimpo FC | Cheonan City | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Pohang | |
| 7 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Jeju SK | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Gimcheon Sangmu | Suwon Bluewings | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Daejeon Korail | Namyangju | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Seoul | |
| 11 | Gangneung | Daejeon | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Jeonbuk | Ansan Greeners | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Sejong SA | Anyang | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Daegu | Gimhae | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Gangwon | Bye | |
| 16 | Siheung Citizen | Hwaseong | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Suwon FC | Gwangju FC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | Incheon | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimpo FC | Pohang | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Daejeon Korail | Seoul | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Daejeon | Jeonbuk | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Anyang | Daegu | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Gangwon | Siheung Citizen | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gwangju FC | Ulsan HD | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Gimpo FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Seoul | Jeonbuk | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Daegu | Gangwon | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gwangju FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | Gangwon | 1 : 1 |
Final
