Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 77', 1 - 1, Grytsak N. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Vitenchuk V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bukovyna Chernivtsi 69.2% | Draw 20.4% | Feniks-Mariupol 10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 (1.31) |
4.44 ↑ (4.4) |
8.79 ↑ (7.1) |
10.1% (13.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).
- Bukovyna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Feniks-Mariupol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bukovyna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bukovyna is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Bukovyna will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Bukovyna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bukovyna Chernivtsi won against Feniks-Mariupol?
Bukovyna Chernivtsi has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Feniks-Mariupol won against Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
Feniks-Mariupol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol were as follows:
29.09.2025
Feniks-Mariupol
-
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
2:3
20.11.2022
Feniks-Mariupol
-
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
0:1
02.10.2022
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
-
Feniks-Mariupol
3:1
Latest results of Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna | 23 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 53:17 | 36 | 63 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | UCSA | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 29 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Viktoria | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Probiy Horodenka | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:29 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Chernihiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Vorskla Poltava | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | Fenix Mariupol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:36 | -18 | 18 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 13:41 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga