Feniks-Mariupol vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
29/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Pidlepenets Y. ,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Dakhnovskyi V. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Zaloga M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Balan D. , Melnyk O. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 64', Sydorenko V. 🟨,
  • 66', Yanchak V. 🟨,
  • 66', Pidlepenets Y. , Plaksa R. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Bogdanov A. ,
  • 69', Bogdanov A. , Kovalyuk R. ,
  • 73', Boychuk B. 🟨,
  • 75', Panchyshyn O. 🟨,
  • 77', Grusha V. , Shynkarenko D. ,
  • 77', Kozhushko O. , Tyshchenko I. ,
  • 89', Panchyshyn O. , Petko S. ,
  • 89', Remenyak A. , Nych N. ,
  • 90+1', Boychuk B. , Andreychuk A. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Feniks-Mariupol
15.7%
Draw
24.4%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 27.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 26.6% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feniks-Mariupol's form might have worsened.
  • Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bukovyna Chernivtsi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bukovyna Chernivtsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.87
    (3.96)
    3.77
    (3.35)
    1.54
    (1.82)
    8.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
  • Users Predictions: Bukovyna Chernivtsi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bukovyna Chernivtsi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Feniks-Mariupol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bukovyna is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Feniks-Mariupol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bukovyna is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi were as follows:
    20.11.2022 Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0:1
    02.10.2022 Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol 3:1
    Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bukovyna18153042:132948
    2Livyi Bereg18123331:121939
    3Ch. Odesa18115227:111638
    4Inhulets18106232:141836
    5Ahrobiznes Volochysk18103521:17433
    6Prykarpattya1874724:21325
    7UCSA1865718:20-223
    8Nyva Ternopil1865718:22-423
    9Vorskla Poltava1856716:17-121
    10Viktoria1854921:25-419
    11FC Chernihiv1754816:20-419
    12Metalist Kharkiv1744915:21-616
    13Probiy Horodenka18441016:27-1116
    14Fenix Mariupol18441011:22-1116
    15Podillya Khmelnytskyi18351013:29-1614
    16SK Metalurh1815127:37-308

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