Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 77', 1 - 1, Grytsak N. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Vitenchuk V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bukovyna Chernivtsi 69.2% | Draw 20.4% | Feniks-Mariupol 10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 (1.31) |
4.44 ↑ (4.4) |
8.79 ↑ (7.1) |
10.1% (13.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).
- Bukovyna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Feniks-Mariupol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bukovyna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bukovyna is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Bukovyna will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Bukovyna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bukovyna Chernivtsi won against Feniks-Mariupol?
Bukovyna Chernivtsi has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Feniks-Mariupol won against Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
Feniks-Mariupol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol were as follows:
29.09.2025
Feniks-Mariupol
-
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
2:3
20.11.2022
Feniks-Mariupol
-
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
0:1
02.10.2022
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
-
Feniks-Mariupol
3:1
Latest results of Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna ✔ | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 58:18 | 40 | 72 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | UCSA | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 33 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Viktoria | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Chernihiv | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Probiy Horodenka | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Fenix Mariupol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 26:32 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Vorskla Poltava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:27 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Metalist Kharkiv | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 18:39 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15:50 | -35 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bukovyna is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League