Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Iglesias F. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, Lecic L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UD Ourense
54.9% | Draw
29.5% | Burgos Promesas
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.45) |
3.1 ↓
(3.61) |
5.85 ↓
(7.38) |
9.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
- UD Ourense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burgos Promesas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, UD Ourense is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that UD Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Burgos Promesas?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos Promesas won against UD Ourense?
Burgos Promesas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas were as follows:
14.09.2025
Burgos Promesas
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of UD Ourense
Latest results of Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oviedo B | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Dep. Fabril | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 49 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | Coruxo FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:23 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 | Salamanca | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 6 | UD Ourense | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Numancia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Real Avila | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19:14 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Valladolid Promesas | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 | Rayo Cantabria | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 38:33 | 5 | 26 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 15 | Langreo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 23 |
| 16 | Lealtad | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
| 17 | Burgos CF B | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16:51 | -35 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
