Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Iglesias F. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, Lecic L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UD Ourense
54.9% | Draw
29.5% | Burgos Promesas
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.45) |
3.1 ↓
(3.61) |
5.85 ↓
(7.38) |
9.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
- UD Ourense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burgos Promesas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, UD Ourense is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that UD Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Burgos Promesas?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos Promesas won against UD Ourense?
Burgos Promesas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas were as follows:
14.09.2025
Burgos Promesas
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of UD Ourense
Latest results of Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 69 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 47:33 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 54 |
| 4 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 | Numancia | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48:48 | 0 | 50 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 59:47 | 12 | 45 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 31:25 | 6 | 45 |
| 11 | Bergantinos | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Astorga | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40:42 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | Langreo | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Valladolid Promesas | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 57:58 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 38:53 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30:52 | -22 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:82 | -59 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
