Burgos vs Elche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Burgos - Elche
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 38
  • Referee: Perez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.95
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
82% (298/364)87% (433/497)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.08
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
82% (298/364)87% (433/497)
Long passes
52% (24/46)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)80% (102/128)
Crosses
25% (5/20)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.36
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1617
Tackles
69% (9/13)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.080.51
Goals prevented
0.080.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Nino F. 🟨,
  • 20', Curro 🟨,
  • 37', Cordoba I. 🟨,
  • 39', Febas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Alex Sancris 🟨,
  • 57', Alex Sancris , Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ,
  • 60', Salinas J. 🟨,
  • 61', Plano O. , Kaba S. ,
  • 61', Rashani E. , Pejino ,
  • 71', Valera G. 🟨,
  • 75', Febas A. , Aguado M. ,
  • 75', Castro N. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 77', Cordoba I. , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 77', Curro , Sanchez B. ,
  • 82', Valera G. , Josan ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Mercau N. , Josan (A),
  • 89', Atienza M. , Mimbacas F. ,
  • 90+3', Arroyo A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/499jtcz3

Chances of winning


Burgos
28.3%
Draw
31.3%
Elche
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 31.3% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 31% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Burgos - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.37)
    2.99
    (3.01)
    2.34
    (2.32)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Burgos - Elche?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Elche is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Exposito M. (Yellow Cards) Ojeda D. (Yellow Cards) Quintanilla R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Elche: Alvarez A. (Knee Injury) Diaby B. (Injury) Mendoza R. (Illness) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Elche were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Elche - Burgos 1:0
    02.02.2024 Elche - Burgos 2:0
    23.09.2023 Burgos - Elche 4:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1
    19.04.2025 Burgos - Cádiz 2:2
    12.04.2025 Tenerife - Burgos 0:0
    06.04.2025 Burgos - Huesca 2:1
    29.03.2025 Eldense - Burgos 0:0
    Latest results of Elche
    26.04.2025 Granada - Elche 1:1
    20.04.2025 Elche - Albacete Balompié 2:2
    12.04.2025 Cádiz - Elche 0:1
    07.04.2025 Elche - Ferrol 1:0
    30.03.2025 Córdoba - Elche 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander440013:6712
    2Gijon43014:229
    3Valladolid42205:148
    4Dep. La Coruna42206:338
    5Cadiz CF42207:528
    6Las Palmas52216:428
    7Malaga42205:328
    8Eibar42117:347
    9Andorra42116:517
    10Huesca42115:417
    11Mirandes42026:426
    12Burgos CF41216:335
    13Almeria41219:905
    14Real Sociedad B51227:8-15
    15Leganes40404:404
    16Cordoba41124:6-24
    17Ceuta41033:9-63
    18Zaragoza40223:6-32
    19Castellon40133:7-41
    20Albacete40138:13-51
    21Granada CF40134:10-61
    22Cultural Leonesa40131:7-61

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation