Zaragoza vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza).

LaLiga2 - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.78	0.84
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
4	3
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
77% (278/360)	81% (350/431)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.78	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.54	1.62
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
12	7
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
4	3
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
37	14
Accurate through passes
3	1
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
14	10
Passes
77% (278/360)	81% (350/431)
Long passes
36% (20/55)	65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
62% (94/152)	66% (58/88)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.70	0.41
Throw ins
18	20
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
59% (16/27)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
61	51
Clearances
18	37
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	7
xGOT faced
1.62	1.54
Goals prevented
0.62	1.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Gomes A. 🟨,
25', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
57', Gonzalez R. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
57', Gomes A. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Appin K. ⚽, Morante I. (A),
66', Larios J. 🟨,
69', Curro ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
69', Morante I. 🟨,
72', Terrer L. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
75', Cordoba I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
75', Morante I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
78', Larios J. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
84', Mensah M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yz7vr2h5

Chances of winning

Zaragoza
32.4%

Draw
32.1%

Burgos
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

32.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zaragoza - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.39)	2.9 ↓ (3.08)	2.67 ↓ (3.13)	6.7% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Burgos?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Burgos (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Burgos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 0.
Zaragoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S. (Muscle Injury) Bare K. (Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Guti R. (Injury) Insua P. (Red Card) Kodro K. (Injury) Moya T. (Inactive) Pomares C. (Injury) Radovanovic A. (Inactive) Saidu Y. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Sierra G. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Burgos?

Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Zaragoza?

Burgos has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zaragoza - Burgos were as follows:

21.12.2025 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:1

04.12.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1

16.02.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1

15.09.2024 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:0

05.05.2024 Zaragoza - Burgos 1:3

Latest results of Zaragoza

22.02.2026 FC Andorra - Zaragoza 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Zaragoza - Eibar 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza 2:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Zaragoza - Castellón 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

22.02.2026 Racing Santander - Burgos 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Burgos - Cádiz 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Las Palmas	38	18	12	8	51:32	19	66
5	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
6	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
7	Burgos CF	38	17	11	10	44:33	11	62
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	38	11	10	17	41:50	-9	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	46:54	-8	42
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation