Result
1:0 penalties
10/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (134/244) | 86% (643/752) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (134/244) | 86% (643/752) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (26/87) | 44% (36/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (42/107) | 75% (155/207) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 11% (4/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Edu Mancha ↓, Stojkovic F. ↑,
- 21', Zulj R. 🟥,
- 25', Mueanta S. ↓, Dougall K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shillington H. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 46', Walsh S. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
- 57', Bissoli 🟨,
- 71', Bissoli ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 73', Stojkovic F. 🟨,
- 77', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 80', Memeti M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
- 87', Kuen A. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
- 90+1', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Etheridge N. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 101', Arzani D. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 105', Junker K. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 119', Ferreyra G. 🟥,
- 119', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 120+5', Ko Myeong-Seok ↓, Lee-Oh S. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Caputo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Causic G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Teague R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Schindler K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Behich A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Zulj P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Younis M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Dougall K. (Penalty Awarded),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y9jytdjx
Chances of winning
Buriram United
49.7% | Draw
27.8% | Melbourne City
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Buriram United - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.75) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
4.16 ↓
(4.72) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Buriram United - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buriram: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- Buriram has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melbourne City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Buriram is the team to beat.
- We predict that Buriram will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Buriram won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Melbourne City?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Buriram United?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Melbourne City were as follows:
03.03.2026
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
1:1
21.10.2025
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
2:1
08.11.2023
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
0:1
25.10.2023
Buriram United
-
Melbourne City
0:2
Latest results of Buriram United
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
