Result
2:1
21/10/2025 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Yamashita Y. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Russia | TV Start |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/533) | 73% (287/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/533) | 73% (287/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 39% (30/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/110) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 44', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', Souprayen S. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
- 58', Shillington H. ↓, Atkinson N. ↑,
- 58', Baker B. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 60', Jaided S. 🟨,
- 66', Schindler K. ↓, Pattynama S. ↑,
- 69', Rahmani K. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Causic G. ⚽,
- 80', Kanamori T. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 80', Kuen A. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
- 80', Stojkovic F. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 81', Jaided S. ↓, Fandi I. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Rashani E. ⚽, Behich A. (A),
- 90+2', Causic G. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Atkinson N. (A),
- 90+10', Causic G. ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/c55xkeyp
Chances of winning
Melbourne City 44.8% | Draw 26.4% | Buriram United 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Melbourne City - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.15) |
3.58 ↑ (3.52) |
3.29 ↑ (2.98) |
5.8% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Buriram United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Buriram will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Buriram (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Buriram's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Buriram has had a series of away games.
- Melbourne City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Melbourne City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Buriram United?
Melbourne City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Melbourne City?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Buriram United were as follows:
08.11.2023
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
0:1
25.10.2023
Buriram United
-
Melbourne City
0:2
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Buriram United
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ulsan HD | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gangwon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Seoul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Johor DT | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Buriram | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Wahda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Tractor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Al Sharjah | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Gharafa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Al-Sadd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Duhail | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)