Result
1:1
03/03/2026 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (250/356) | 68% (213/314) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (250/356) | 68% (213/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/47) | 21% (15/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (68/120) | 56% (41/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Causic G. 🟨,
- 33', Vidmar A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Schindler K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Jaided S. ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
- 67', Walsh S. 🟨,
- 68', Shillington H. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 68', Memeti M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
- 71', Walsh S. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 78', Kuen A. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
- 81', Rashani E. 🟨,
- 82', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Arzani D. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 90+4', Bissoli 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Mazzeo B. ⚽, Younis M. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
37.8% | Draw
30.8% | Buriram United
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Melbourne City - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.48) |
3.05 ↓
(3.26) |
3 ↑
(2.76) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Buriram United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Buriram will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.75 - Buriram (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Buriram (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In recent matches, Melbourne City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buriram is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Buriram may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Buriram United?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Melbourne City?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Buriram United were as follows:
21.10.2025
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
2:1
08.11.2023
Melbourne City
-
Buriram United
0:1
25.10.2023
Buriram United
-
Melbourne City
0:2
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Buriram United
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
