Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/465) | 73% (201/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/465) | 73% (201/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (101/130) | 64% (61/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 18', Tongkiri C. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, N'Diaye S. ⚽, Kaman K. (A),
- 26', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Pattynama S. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Nonthasila S. ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Bissoli (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Walsh S. 🟨,
- 61', Walsh S. ↓, Charoenrattanapirom P. ↑,
- 66', Tongkiri C. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 75', Bunmathan T. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
- 76', Lopez J. 🟨,
- 82', Panya E. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
- 87', Jaided S. ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
- 88', Wonggorn J. ↓, Pruetong T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Buriram United
63.7% | Draw
21.2% | Pathum United
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Buriram United - Pathum United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.35) |
4.86 ↓
(5.09) |
6.81 ↓
(7.14) |
-2.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Buriram United - Pathum United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Pathum United (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 2.
- Buriram is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pathum United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Buriram has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buriram won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Pathum United?
Buriram United has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Buriram United?
Pathum United has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Pathum United were as follows:
24.09.2025
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
2:2
19.07.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
2:1
10.05.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
3:0
07.05.2025
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
0:0
12.04.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
1:2
Latest results of Buriram United
Latest results of Pathum United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Port MTI FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:6 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Prachuap | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Muang Thong Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Sukhothai | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ayutthaya Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Kanchanaburi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chonburi | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
