Result
0:1
08/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/500) | 73% (205/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/500) | 73% (205/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (116/172) | 56% (40/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Haiprakon S. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 39', Hemviboon P. 🟨,
- 40', Sareepim S. 🟨,
- 43', Jamnongwat W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Sareepim S. ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
- 55', Toku E. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 62', Sareepim S. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 70', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
- 76', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 79', Bunmathan T. ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
- 79', Lee-Oh S. ↓, Weerawatnodom N. ↑,
- 83', Raniel ↓, Gustavsson P. ↑,
- 83', Yooyen S. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
- 84', Notsuda G. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
- 86', Panya E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Buriram United
44% | Draw
30.3% | Pathum United
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pathum United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+20.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pathum United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Buriram United - Pathum United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(1.5) |
3.44 ↓
(4.06) |
4.05 ↓
(5.46) |
-4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Buriram United - Pathum United?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 3.
- Buriram has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pathum United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Buriram is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Buriram will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buriram won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Pathum United?
Buriram United has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Buriram United?
Pathum United has won 1 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Pathum United were as follows:
14.02.2026
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
1:3
05.10.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
2:2
24.09.2025
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
2:2
19.07.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
2:1
10.05.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
3:0
Latest results of Buriram United
Latest results of Pathum United
Draw
2025/261/16-finals| 1 | Pattani | Ratchaburi | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakhon Pathom | Uthai Thani | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Thonburi United | Buriram | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Samut Sakhon City | Prachuap | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bangkok FC | Muang Thong Utd | 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Uttaradit | Pathum United | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Mahasarakham | Rayong FC | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Lopburi City | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Satun FC | Lamphun Warrior | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chonburi | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Thap Luang United | Chiangrai Utd | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Customs Utd | Sukhothai | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Chainat | Port MTI FC | 0 : 5 |
| 14 | Bankhai United | Ayutthaya Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Khonkaen Utd. | Kanchanaburi | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pattaya United | Bangkok Utd | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pattani | Uthai Thani | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Buriram | Prachuap | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Muang Thong Utd | Pathum United | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mahasarakham | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lamphun Warrior | Chonburi | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Thap Luang United | Sukhothai | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Port MTI FC | Ayutthaya Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Khonkaen Utd. | Bangkok Utd | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pattani | Buriram | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Pathum United | Mahasarakham | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Chonburi | Thap Luang United | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Port MTI FC | Khonkaen Utd. | 7 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Buriram | Pathum United | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Chonburi | Port MTI FC | 3 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Pathum United | Port MTI FC | |
