Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (260/327) | 70% (184/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (260/327) | 70% (184/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.08 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Haiprakon S. (A),
- 25', Pimoytha T. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 1, Raniel ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A),
- 36', 1 - 2, Mueanta S. ⚽, Sukjitthammakul P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zulj R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
- 55', Buaphan C. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
- 55', Tongkiri C. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 61', Anuin S. ↓, Dorkmaikaew P. ↑,
- 70', Mueanta S. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
- 74', Panya E. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
- 74', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Jaided S. ⚽,
- 80', Nonthasila S. 🟨,
- 80', Jaided S. 🟨,
- 85', Bissoli ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 85', Etheridge N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
22.9% | Draw
25.5% | Buriram United
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pathum United - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.35) |
3.6 ↑
(3.32) |
1.78 ↓
(1.99) |
9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Buriram United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Buriram (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Pathum United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Buriram might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Buriram United?
Pathum United has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Pathum United?
Buriram United has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Buriram United were as follows:
05.10.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
2:2
24.09.2025
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
2:2
19.07.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
2:1
10.05.2025
Buriram United
-
Pathum United
3:0
07.05.2025
Pathum United
-
Buriram United
0:0
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14:35 | -21 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
