Result
2:0
04/11/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Russia | TV Start |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/420) | 85% (388/459) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/420) | 85% (388/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (42/75) | 63% (67/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Jaided S. ⚽, Zulj R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yang Shiyuan ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
- 46', Jojo A. C. ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Good C. ⚽, Causic G. (A),
- 69', Bunmathan T. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
- 73', Jaided S. ↓, Despotovic D. ↑,
- 74', Browning Tyias ↓, Zhang Linpeng ↑,
- 74', Wang Shenchao ↓, Ming Tian ↑,
- 86', Melendo O. ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4xmeax85
Chances of winning
Buriram United 63.2% | Draw 19.7% | Shanghai Port 17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buriram United's performance.Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Buriram United - Shanghai Port Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.61) |
4.78 ↑ (4.22) |
5.52 ↑ (4.43) |
6.3% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Buriram United - Shanghai Port?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Buriram (1.60) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Shanghai Port (4.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Buriram (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Buriram United will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shanghai Port (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Shanghai Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Buriram is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buriram won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Shanghai Port?
Buriram United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Port won against Buriram United?
Shanghai Port has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buriram United - Shanghai Port were as follows:
Latest results of Buriram United
Latest results of Shanghai Port
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |