Crystal Palace vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, Palace TV, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.850.52
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
82
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (206/312)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.850.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.51
Total shots
218
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
111
Shots inside the box
154
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free kicks
811
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (206/312)
Long passes
41% (22/54)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
71% (116/164)51% (47/92)
Crosses
39% (9/23)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.430.33
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
118
Tackles
54% (7/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5153
Clearances
2634
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.511.67
Goals prevented
-0.49-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Larsen J. S. , Wharton A. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Larsen J. S. , Lerma J. (A),
  • 35', Richards C. 🟨,
  • 36', Lerma J. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Mejbri H. , Edwards M. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 2, Anthony J. , Ugochukwu L. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 3, Lerma J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lerma J. , Riad C. ,
  • 58', Guessand E. , Johnson B. ,
  • 72', Kamada D. , Pino Y. ,
  • 72', Munoz D. , Hughes W. ,
  • 73', Edwards M. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 73', Flemming Z. , Foster L. ,
  • 74', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 83', Wharton A. , Uche C. ,
  • 83', Mejbri H. , Ward-Prowse J. ,
  • 87', Ugochukwu L. , Florentino ,

Chances of winning


Crystal Palace
64.7%
Draw
21.4%
Burnley
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 24.5% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 23.8% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Crystal Palace - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.67)
    4.49
    (3.91)
    6.9
    (5.34)
    4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 64.5%87.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Burnley (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crystal Palace will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.
    • Crystal Palace is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Devenny J. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Burnley were as follows:
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1
    24.02.2024 Crystal Palace - Burnley 3:0
    04.11.2023 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:2
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    Latest results of Burnley
    07.02.2026 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2
    02.02.2026 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0
    17.01.2026 Liverpool - Burnley 1:1
    10.01.2026 Burnley - Millwall 5:1
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship