Result
2:3
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Myanmar | Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Palace TV, TNT Sports 5 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (459/565) | 66% (206/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (459/565) | 66% (206/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 26% (17/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (116/164) | 51% (47/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 17', 1 - 0, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Lerma J. (A),
- 35', Richards C. 🟨,
- 36', Lerma J. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Mejbri H. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
- 44', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽, Ugochukwu L. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 3, Lerma J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lerma J. ↓, Riad C. ↑,
- 58', Guessand E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
- 72', Kamada D. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
- 72', Munoz D. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
- 73', Edwards M. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
- 73', Flemming Z. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 74', Mejbri H. 🟨,
- 83', Wharton A. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
- 83', Mejbri H. ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
- 87', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Florentino ↑,
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace
64.7% | Draw
21.4% | Burnley
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Crystal Palace - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.67) |
4.49 ↑
(3.91) |
6.9 ↑
(5.34) |
4%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 64.5% – 87.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Burnley (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.
- Crystal Palace is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Devenny J.
(Ankle Injury)
Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Mateta J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Thigh Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Tuanzebe A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Burnley?
Crystal Palace has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Crystal Palace?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Burnley were as follows:
03.12.2025
Burnley
-
Crystal Palace
0:1
24.02.2024
Crystal Palace
-
Burnley
3:0
04.11.2023
Burnley
-
Crystal Palace
0:2
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of Burnley
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd ✔ | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63:48 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55:52 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
