Burreli vs Apolonia Fier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', 1 - 0, ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Burreli
43.2%
Draw
28.6%
Apolonia Fier
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 30.1% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burreli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burreli's performance.
  • Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apolonia Fier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burreli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apolonia Fier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burreli - Apolonia Fier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.43)
    3.2
    (2.99)
    3.24
    (2.67)
    9.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 1.
    • Burreli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Apolonia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home match between the teams, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burreli - Apolonia Fier were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 1:2
    23.02.2025 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 0:0
    20.11.2024 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 3:1
    21.10.2024 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 1:1
    28.09.2023 Apolonia Fier - Burreli 3:0
    Latest results of Burreli
    10.01.2026 Partizani Tirana - Burreli 3:0
    23.12.2025 Korabi Peshkopi - Burreli 0:1
    13.12.2025 Burreli - Kastrioti 0:0
    08.12.2025 Besa Kavajë - Burreli 2:0
    Latest results of Apolonia Fier
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu24183346:232357
    2Laci24166241:152654
    3Pogradeci24147339:201949
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje2489723:24-133
    5Kastrioti2496930:35-533
    6Burreli2487919:27-831
    7Besa Kavaje24771026:26028
    8Korabi Peshkopi24771025:29-428
    9Apolonia Fier24661222:29-724
    10Lushnja24481221:33-1220
    11AF Luftetari243101124:35-1119
    12Kukesi24441619:39-2016

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation