Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.82
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
5	14
Shots on target
0	6
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
68% (245/358)	62% (184/298)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	2.46
Total shots
5	14
Shots on target
0	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	8
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
68% (245/358)	62% (184/298)
Long passes
43% (35/82)	28% (25/88)
Passes in final third
55% (76/139)	51% (56/110)
Crosses
0% (0/17)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.51
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
57% (8/14)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
68	49
Clearances
37	39
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
2.46	0.00
Goals prevented
-1.54	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Connolly A. (A),
29', Evans G. 🟨,
37', Godwin-Malife U. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Chauke K. 🟨,
65', 0 - 3, Abdulai A. ⚽, Connolly A. (A),
68', Williams D. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
69', Evans G. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Wellens C. ⚽,
76', O'Neill O. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
77', Ballard D. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
81', Beesley J. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
84', Wellens C. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
89', Abdulai A. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
89', Connolly A. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
90+6', Lofthouse K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
35.1%

Draw
27.6%

Leyton Orient
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Burton Albion - Leyton Orient Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	2.55 ↑ (2.37)	5.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Leyton Orient?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leyton Orient (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive) Williams D. (Injury)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Adaramola T. (Red Card) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Webster C. (Injury)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: El Mizouni I. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Leyton Orient?

Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Burton Albion?

Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Leyton Orient were as follows:

01.04.2025 Burton Albion - Leyton Orient 2:1

14.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 0:0

17.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 1:2

28.10.2023 Burton Albion - Leyton Orient 0:0

Latest results of Burton Albion

15.11.2025 Burton Albion - Blackpool 1:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Bradford City - Burton Albion 1:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Rotherham United - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Burton Albion - St Albans City 6:0 ✺

Latest results of Leyton Orient

22.11.2025 Leyton Orient - Blackpool 1:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Leyton Orient - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Leyton Orient 4:1 ✺

03.11.2025 Tamworth - Leyton Orient 0:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Leyton Orient - Aston Villa U21 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two