Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Leyton Orient
Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.92
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
66% (193/291)76% (348/457)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.352.20
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
188
Passes
66% (193/291)76% (348/457)
Long passes
44% (34/78)33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
54% (63/117)54% (56/104)
Crosses
9% (2/22)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.74
Fouls
818
Tackles
52% (11/21)90% (9/10)
Duels won
6849
Clearances Total
2237
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.201.35
Goals prevented
1.20-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Agyei D. ,
  • 41', Jaiyesimi D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sweeney R. , Armer J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Sraha J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Webster C. ,
  • 62', Pratley D. , Ball D. ,
  • 62', Jaiyesimi D. , O'Neill O. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Burrell R. ,
  • 67', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
  • 81', Clare S. , Abdulai A. ,
  • 81', Donley J. , Markanday D. ,
  • 81', Agyei D. , Perkins S. ,

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
34.2%
Draw
29.3%
Leyton Orient
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 26.2% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 25% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Leyton Orient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3.15)
    3.19
    (3.55)
    2.58
    (2.1)
    6.4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Leyton Orient?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 21.5%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
    • Burton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Beckles O. (Inactive) Graham J. (Knee Injury) James T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Brown J. (Injury) Kelman C. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Leyton Orient were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 0:0
    17.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 1:2
    28.10.2023 Burton Albion - Leyton Orient 0:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two