Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 40
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	1.92
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
66% (193/291)	76% (348/457)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	2.20
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	11
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
18	8
Passes
66% (193/291)	76% (348/457)
Long passes
44% (34/78)	33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
54% (63/117)	54% (56/104)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.74
Fouls
8	18
Tackles
52% (11/21)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
68	49
Clearances Total
22	37
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
2.20	1.35
Goals prevented
1.20	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Agyei D. ⚽,
41', Jaiyesimi D. 🟨,
45+2', Sweeney R. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Sraha J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Webster C. ⚽,
62', Pratley D. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
62', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Burrell R. ⚽,
67', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
81', Clare S. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
81', Donley J. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
81', Agyei D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
34.2%

Draw
29.3%

Leyton Orient
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.2%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burton Albion - Leyton Orient Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.15)	3.19 ↓ (3.55)	2.58 ↑ (2.1)	6.4% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Leyton Orient?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 21.5% – 71.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
Burton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Beckles O. (Inactive) Graham J. (Knee Injury) James T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Brown J. (Injury) Kelman C. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Leyton Orient?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Burton Albion?

Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Leyton Orient were as follows:

14.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 0:0

17.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Burton Albion 1:2

28.10.2023 Burton Albion - Leyton Orient 0:0

Latest results of Burton Albion

29.03.2025 Stockport County - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Burton Albion - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Leyton Orient

27.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Blackpool - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Rotherham United - Leyton Orient 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic 1:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two