Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (193/291) | 76% (348/457) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (193/291) | 76% (348/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (63/117) | 54% (56/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.74 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.20 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Agyei D. ⚽,
- 41', Jaiyesimi D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sweeney R. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Sraha J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Webster C. ⚽,
- 62', Pratley D. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
- 62', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Burrell R. ⚽,
- 67', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 81', Clare S. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 81', Donley J. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 81', Agyei D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
34.2% | Draw
29.3% | Leyton Orient
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(3.15) |
3.19 ↓
(3.55) |
2.58 ↑
(2.1) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 21.5% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
- Burton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Beckles O.
(Inactive)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
James T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Tavares F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Brown J.
(Injury)
Kelman C.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Leyton Orient?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Burton Albion?
Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Leyton Orient were as follows:
14.12.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Burton Albion
0:0
17.02.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Burton Albion
1:2
28.10.2023
Burton Albion
-
Leyton Orient
0:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
