Result
3:0
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 32
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (180/302) | 71% (318/448) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (180/302) | 71% (318/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (29/99) | 34% (35/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (64/131) | 38% (41/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Hills B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Godwin-Malife U. (A),
- 54', Olowu J. ↓, Dodgson O. ↑,
- 54', Olaofe T. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
- 55', Bailey O. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Evans G. ⚽, Hartridge A. (A),
- 61', Pye E. 🟨,
- 64', 3 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
- 70', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
- 75', Norwood O. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
- 81', Bate L. 🟨,
- 84', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 85', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 85', Diamond J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lofthouse K. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 90+1', Beesley J. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 90+2', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion 28.3% | Draw 27.8% | Stockport County 43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.3 ↓ (3.66) |
3.35 ↓ (3.38) |
2.12 ↑ (1.91) |
7.4% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Burton (2.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stockport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Stockport could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B.
(Inactive)
Edun T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Burton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Stockport County?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Burton Albion?
Stockport County has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Stockport County were as follows:
23.08.2025
Stockport County
-
Burton Albion
2:1
29.03.2025
Stockport County
-
Burton Albion
2:1
23.11.2024
Burton Albion
-
Stockport County
0:3
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two