Hwaseong vs Busan I Park – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 2 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
417
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
28
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1115
Fouls
159

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Arthur , Kim S. (A),
  • 41', Park Chang-Woo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
  • 55', Lee Dong-Su , Gonzalo Fornari ,
  • 57', Xavier 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Yun Min-Ho (Pen),
  • 70', Kim Jun-yeong , Park Jae-Seong ,
  • 70', Jeon S. , Choi Myung-Hee ,
  • 82', Yun Min-Ho , Son Hwi ,
  • 84', Kim Byung-Oh , Park Chang-Ho ,
  • 84', Demethryus , Yeo Hong-Gyu ,
  • 90+4', Park Chang-Woo , Kim Se-Hoon ,
  • 90+5', Yeo Hong-Gyu 🟨,
  • 90+8', Park Jae-Seong , Lee Eun-Jae ,

Chances of winning


Hwaseong
24.4%
Draw
28.4%
Busan I Park
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 26.1% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 25.5% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busan I Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hwaseong - Busan I Park Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (4.27)
    3.28
    (3.6)
    1.99
    (1.81)
    7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hwaseong - Busan I Park?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Busan I Park might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hwaseong - Busan I Park were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Hwaseong - Busan I Park 1:0
    27.04.2025 Busan I Park - Hwaseong 3:2
    Latest results of Hwaseong
    21.09.2025 Cheonan City - Hwaseong 2:2
    14.09.2025 Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong 1:2
    07.09.2025 Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong 0:1
    24.08.2025 Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings 1:1
    Latest results of Busan I Park
    South Korean K-League 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonnam11004:133
    2Suwon FC11004:133
    3Ansan Greeners11004:133
    4Asan11003:213
    5Suwon Bluewings11002:113
    6Daegu11001:013
    7Cheonan City10102:201
    8Yongin10102:201
    9Seongnam10101:101
    10Busan10101:101
    11Paju Frontier10012:3-10
    12Seoul E-Land10011:2-10
    13Gimhae10011:4-30
    14Gyeongnam10011:4-30
    15Cheongju10011:4-30
    16Gimpo FC00000:000
    17Hwaseong10010:1-10

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